The Southern Front On The War On Terror


Remember a adage, an rivalry of your rivalry is your friend. Well afterwards in that case, I'll similar to to deliver to you, my brand brand new friends called Zaki Zahid, Ghani Othman, Lim Kang Hoo as well as an entity to whom a Mahabloggers impute to many disrespectfully as a Ghost Of Johor. Out of apply oneself to a institution a Ghost of Johor is ostensible to represent, you shall no longer impute to it as a Ghost of Johor.

The upon top of four folks have been a target of a lot of attacks by a Big 3 Mahabloggers with a Big Cat named Ai getting increasingly guilty by association. Whatever they have been doing, upon interest of a 80% Malaysians who conflict Dr Mahathir, you would similar to to say

"THANK YOU"

to these brave men.

And since is that? By laying out a attacks, a single contingency know that this is concurrent as well as planned.This is not a a single off or only pointless whacks, no it bears a trademark style of an "blogger characterassassination" job, a pursuit these guys have been so famous for.

The question you should ask is "why?"

This is my theory.

you hold that right now, Maha cronies have been being squeezed out of Johor, as well as for that you salute all involved. These Mahacronies would have been eyeing discerning fix, land flipping, crony similar to contracts. However, due to a stream circumstances, they find their path blocked. These folk afterwards would have got in touch with a Mahabloggers. Money would hav! epresuma blychangedhands as well as afterwards a Mahabloggers would have got together to tract their strategy.

However, apart from only giving a biggest sense of euphoria to all a anti Maha's out there, you am utterly surprised as what this attacks have been ostensible to achieve.

you think a Mahabloggers should perhaps take a bit of Ibrahim Ali's recommendation as well as to show most more deference to a institutions whose members have been blue blooded. And furthermore, you find it to be a height ofhypocrisythat Mahabloggers have been frankly using such demeaning epithets upon those institutions when they formerly have savaged a DAP for most less.


"Menteri Besar Datuk Abdul Ghani Othman pronounced Gwee was being extremely disrespectful by refusing to wear a correct attire generally a songkok in a Sultan's presence.




The utter disregard as well as irritability to HRH Sultans right away escalated to His Majesty Seri Paduka Yang DiPertuan Agong.
Yesterday, in His Majesty Seri Paduka Baginda Yang DiPertuan Agong Tuanku Mizan Zainal Abidin Ibni Sultan Mahmood official visit to Penang, a Chinese Chauvinist DAP Penang Chief Minister Lim Guan Eng acted rude to a King. He used his index finger to point, instead of a thumb.

http://bigdogdotcom.wordpress.com/2011/06/26/return-of-the-min-yuens/

Mana PERKASA? Benda mcm ni tak nak komen ke Harap jangan jadi kes chakap tak serupa bikin...

PS: The title "The Southern Front" refers to a i! ncident in World War II when Nazi Germany had to face an assault from a Western as well as a Eastern front. Hopefully, a same will happen to a Mahas as well as "those a Mahas have insulted" will see that a order contingency have come from most aloft powers, if not these Mahabloggers would not have proceeded.

**************************************************************

Can Johor Fall?

Well, I've got about twenty-five mins to try as well as come out with anon Parpubased posting as well as what improved approach than to call into question a usual wisdom that states BN in Johor is impregnable.

Lets cut to a chase as well as check out this graph





The bars in red impute to DUN's formed upon 2008 voter demographic that is reduction than 60% Malay. Further engaging reading is as follows:18 of those seats have comprehensive non Malay majority.Of those 18 seats, a normal Chinese race is about 55%, a minimum is 36%.

The engaging distribution, in actuality a vital rise is during a interlude between 50% - 60% Malay. The normal Chinese is about 38%, a normal Indian is about 7%.

Ok so what does all of this mumbo jumbo mean.

The Chinese opinion is actually most reduction fractured than a Malay or Indian opinion for that matter. If in truth a tsunami hits Johor, you can design something similar to 70% of Chinese voting for Pakatan, as a minimum. (This is what happened in 2008. But in 2012, you got some brand brand new thingy called Perkas! a hooray !)

The seats afterwards demeanour something similar to this



The bars in red paint areas where 70% of a Chinese opinion alone accounts for greater than 35% of a sum vote. So in a place similar to Tangkak, 70% of a Chinese opinion going to Pakatan equates to that in a bag Pakatan has 37% of a sum vote. All they need to do is get another 13%, that is highly practicable for them to take a seat.

On a other hand, places similar to Semarang, Sedili as well as Pasir Raja have a high Malay representation, so 70% of a Chinese opinion still equates to nothing.

The black line shows where a DUN majority lies.

Lets demeanour during it in finer detail, all areas where Pakatan has in a bag 30% of a sum electorate, by trait of taking 70% of a Chinese vote.



What do you have. The DUNs in red have been probably in a bag for Pakatan. twelve DUNs in all.
There have been a serve twenty-three Duns where Pakatan is competitive since of a Chinese vote, though still not positive of victory. But in probably all of these DUN's Pakatan has a bottom of during about 30% of a vote. So they have been very competitive.

If Pakatan slams a initial 12, as well as wins 50-50 a upon top of center ground duns, afterwards you get Pakatan with twelve + 0.5*23 = twenty-three seats in a Johor DUN. BN will have 33 seats.
!
So BN still retains with a slim 10 seat majority, disposed to hopping of course.

Maybe not enough to take a Government, though that is presumption a rest of a seats work towards BN. And you have been completely discounting PAS or PKR making in roads into a Malay dominated areas, that you never know.

Conclusion:
Well looking from a despotic demographic view, it is positively very easy for Pakatan to during slightest have twenty-three elected member in a Johor Assembly if a stream polemic still continues. An comprehensive feat is still possible, they would only need to win an additional 5, as well as who knows, a Kluk Klek could deliver upsets of their own.











nuomali said...
"Can Johor Fall?"....

dream upon dude.

i live in muar.

Posted by
Read More @ Source



More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Courtesy of Bonology.com Politically Incorrect Buzz & Buzz

No comments: