Muhyiddin 'gangnam' Guan Eng
Ketika sidang akhbar di Hotel Equatorial tadi tengahhari, wartawan meminta Muhyiddin mengulas kenyataan Guan Eng menyuruh rakyat Pulau PInang datang beramai-ramai dengan memakai baju warna kuning hijau dan merah ke rumah terbuka Tahun Baru Cina pd 11 February 2013 bersama PM.
Timbalan Perdana Menteri kata, "nampak cerdik tapi
SAPP-Pakatan seat talks on hold as polls loom, says Bumburing
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
CILI KASI TARUK! APABILA SI GAY TUA CUBA BUAT FITNAH MURAHAN
Pelik la aku, kenapa si ISapmuddin Gay Rais ni nak buat crita macam ni ek? Agaknya dia nak cover kisah YB-YB yang dia sokong semua buat hal sekarang ni gamaknya? Kah kah kah...sian si happy tua haprak ni...tak habis-habis dengan fitnah murahan dia...
A Pakatan tsunami can hit Johor
In a dual rounds of chair re-delineation exercises in 1994 as well as 2003, many multiethnic mixed seats were combined for BN to maximise a multiethnic appeal as well as to have a many out of a opposition's incapacity to win across racial boundaries.
The BN-controlled media done PAS to be seen to a non-Malays as an anathema to their interests, while DAP as a hazard to a Malays. Before 2008, PAS supporters frequency voted for a DAP as well as vice-versa.
The 2008 ubiquitous choosing saw PAS benefiting from outpouring Chinese as well as Indian await for a "anything yet Umno" call while a little urban Malays voted for DAP for a initial time in their lives. Many multiethnic seats in a states north of Negeri Sembilan as well as upon a west coast of a peninsula fell to a opposition.
How Pakatan can win Johor
Sabah as well as Johor are a dual many crucial battlefields in a 2013 election. While Sabah attracts estimable attention, it could be hampered by chair traffic as well as team-work between a antithesis groups. Johor is where a BN member might tumble like dominoes.
Of Johor's twe! nty-six parliamentary seats, usually eight have some-more than 60 percent Malay votes which will be harder to win with a stream turn ! of await for Pakatan. No chair in Johor has some-more than 60 percent Chinese voters.
On a a single hand, without twenty-five percent Malay support, even if a non-Malay pitch to Pakatan is huge, a entire movement might only fizzle out with really couple of seats gained. Pakatan perceived usually about twenty percent Malay await in Johor during a 2008 ubiquitous election.
On a alternative hand, if 35 percent Malay electorate await Pakatan in this election, anything could happen. While it is tough to get 35 percent Malay support, it is never impossible.
I am told which a new opinion check shows Malay await for Pakatan in Johor to have exceeded thirty percent, yet a await varies between parties. The await for PAS is much higher than normal while DAP's Malay await is reduce than average.
As a choosing approaches,I hold a gaps will narrowif PAS as well as DAP, with a assistance of PKR, are means to remonstrate supporters to opinion for each alternative in a context of a coalition.
From a purely mathematical simulations, this draft upon a left indicates a possible scenarios in Johor. This is based upo! n a assu mption which Indian await for Pakatan is constant at 50 percent.
Of course these are only simulations upon paper. But it shows which Barisan Nasional's castle might crumble if a perfect charge comes in to shape. It is additionally a uninformed tsunami alert from a people of Johor to a supervision who refuses to reform.
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
PKR to probe scantily-clad dancers allegations
PKR de facto leader Anwar Ibrahim said a celebration will examine as well as take movement over allegations that a party's Kulim bend had organized a dance with scantily-clad womanlike performers.
He said that a celebration has its own values, that should be upheld.
"If there is truth to a allegation, you will take movement (on a person who organized it). If it (the dance) is not suitable as well as involves a party, you will take action.
"The celebration has to defend great values, that are to be defended during all times."
However, Anwar (right) was incompetent to comment upon what sort of movement would be taken.
It was reported that a Kulim PKR bend had organized a controversial dance show with scantily-clad womanlike performers.
Anwar was vocalization upon a sidelines after delivering a keynote address upon giveaway preparation during Universiti Industri Selangor, in Shah Alam.
[More to follow] Read More @ Source
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Teluk Rubiah: Kerajaan Perak Hilang Pendapatan Berbillion
Maklumat lanjut korang baca kenyataan akhbar 4 February 2013 dari Pengarah BOACM (Business Oversight and Accountability Centre Of Malaysia), klik gambar dibawah untuk besarkan (M/S 1 & 2).
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Pakai baju bersih ambil BR1M - Terpesona puteri umno dibuatnya... wakaka
Peristiwa berlaku ketika pengagihan wang BR1M di UITM Kedah. Seorang lelaki dengan bersahaja memakai baju BERSIH semasa menerima wang bantuan rakyat 1 Malaysia kurniaan kerajaan (bukan kurniaan BN).
Gadis dalam gambar kelihatan bersahaja menjalankan tugasnya walau berdepan dengan seorang yang berlawanan pegangan politik. Walau di dalam hatinya tidak siapa tahu. Mungkin pelbagai sumpah seranah bermain dalam benak fikirannya... wakaka
Walaupun pihak polis diberitakan telah mewartakan akan menangkap sesiapa sahaja yang memakai baju BERSIH semasa mengambil BR1M 2.0, namun lelaki ini masih memakainya pada hari tersebut.
Tidak diketahui sama ada lelaki berkenaan ditangkap atau sebaliknya.
"Pembalasan Si Pitung" - Nasha dijangka akan belasah PAS hari ini.
Read More @ SourceMore Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Alhamdulillah Tun Siti Hasmah bertudung
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Punca Gagal Bekal Air: Syabas Cuma Bayar 45 % Kepada Operator Loji
Syarikat user rawatan air, Konsortium Abbas Sdn Bhd (Abbas) dan Syarikat Pengeluar Air Selangor (Splash) terpaksa bertindak demikian bagi mengurangkan kos pengeluaran dan mengelakkan menanggung kerugian.
Menurut Ahli Parlimen Kuala Selangor, Dr Dzulkefly Ahmad keadaan ini hanya dapat diselesaikan apabila Kerajaan Negeri Selangor mengambil alih operasi pengeluaran air di negeri itu.
"Bayaran Syabas kepada syarikat user loji ini sangat menekan aliran tunai mereka," kata Dr Dzulkefly kepada TV Selangor hari ini.
Selain itu, Dr Dzulkefly turut mendedahkan bahawa Syabas juga tidak memberikan layanan yang adil dan saksama kepada syarikat-syarikat kontraktor mereka.
"Kontraktor Syabas ini ada banyak, tetapi saya dapat tahu cuma beberapa syarikat yang Tan Sri Rozali Ismail ada kepentingan secara langsung atau tidak langsung dapat keistimewaan seperti anak emas oleh Syabas.
"Projek yang diberikan juga biasanya projek yang beri keuntungan lebih besar berbanding kerja yang diperolehi syarikat lain, ini tak adil kepada syarikat kontraktor lain walaupun mereka punyai keupayaan jalankan projek," ujarnya lagi.
Antara syarikat yang disebutkan sebagai anak emas Syabas oleh Dr Dzulkefly termasuklah Mewah Kota Sdn Bhd, Damini Sdn Bhd, Yakin Rantau Sdn Bhd, Kembara Sdn Bhd dan Semarak Niaga Sdn Bhd.
"Sekiranya Kerajaan Negeri ambil alih, kontrak dan bayaran akan dibuat dengan adil dan lebih baik sebab rekod yang ada saya per! caya Ker ajaan Negeri merupakan 'pay master' yang bagus," kata Dr Dzulkefly yang mengaku dibekalkan maklumat dari sumber dalaman s! alah sebuah syarikat anak emas terbabit.
http://www.selangorku.com/?p=22557
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Psy or Pang Sai, which one you like?
No prizes for guessing who's during a back of a unfortunate campaign
UCAPAN Tahun Baru Cina NAJIB dan ASHMAN Dalam BAHASA MANDARIN
PETALING JAYA: Ramai pendengar air wave terkejut apabila mendengar Perdana Menteri Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak bersama anak bongsunya, Nor Ashman, muncul di dalam air wave dan bertutur dalam bahasa Mandarin.
Najib dan anak lelakinya yang berusia twenty-two tahun itu muncul selama 40 saat untuk iklan Tahun Baru Cina di air wave yang mula ke udara sejak semalam.
Iklan itu bermula dengan suara seorang wanita berkata: "Hei, ada seseorang sedang belajar bertutur dalam bahasa Mandarin".
"Na Ji. Wo shi Na Ji (Saya Najib),"kata Najib sambil diperbetulkan sebutan oleh anaknya, yang sebelum ini pernah belajar bahas! the Mandarin diBeijing Foreign Studies University.
Kemudian suara wanita itu berkata:"Sangat mengejutkan ia adalah, Perdana Menteri kita. Siapa yang mengajarnya bertutur bahasa Mandarin? "
Nor Ashman kemudian bertanya bapanya jika dia tahu makna namanya dalam bahasa Cina, dan Perdana Menteri menjawab:"Ya, saya diberitahu bahawa ia bermakna untuk nasib yang baik dan semua perkara-perkara yang positif dalam kehidupan.
Najib kemudian bertanya kepada Ashman makna namanya dalam bahasa Cina, Nor Ashman balas:"Si ji ping (Keamanan untuk semua musim)".
Mereka berdua kemudian menggabungkan nama-nama mereka untuk memberikan ucapan perayaan kepada para pendengar:"Tahun Baru Cina semakin hampir. Marilah kita memberi ucapan kepada mereka semua."
"Na Ji ying chun (Nasib yang baik dan mengalu-alukan musim bunga),"kata Najib, diikuti oleh Nor Ashman, yang menambah:"Si ji ping an"
"Gong Xi Fa Cai,"kata Najib dan Nor Ashman secara serentak.
Setiausaha Politik Najib, Wong Nai C! hee berk ata ia telah menjadi tradisi bagi Perdana Menteri untuk menghantar kad ucapan setiap kali Tahun Baru Cina.
"Tetapi di samping menghantar kad, kita terfikir untuk melakukan sesuatu yang berbeza tahun ini,"katanya, sambil menambah bahawa kemunculan Najib dan Nor Ashman juga untuk mengingatkan kepada orang ramai bahawa Perdana Menteri juga adalah seorang bapa.
Iklan itu telah disiarkan di eleven saluran radio, termasuk Red FM dan 988 FM, tambah Wong.
Kredit : The Star Read More @ Source
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
ISU KALIMAH ALLAH MENURUT PANDANGAN TUN M!
2. Rakyat Malaysia menghormati agama yang berlainan dan hak mengamal upacara keagamaan masing-masing oleh pengikutnya. Kita mengelak membuat komen mengenai agama orang lain walaupun kita berdebat hebat sesama kita yang menganut agama yang sama.
3. Malangnya sekarang ini kita sedang menghadapi kontroversi berkaitan penggunaan nama Tuhan, Allah. Beberapa tahun yang lalu, kontroversi ini diselesaikan apabila diterima bahawa penganut Kristian di Sabah dan Sarawak boleh terus mengguna kalimah Allah di dalam Kitab Injil dan pengajaran mereka tetapi ini tidak boleh dilakukan di negeri-negeri lain dalam Negara.
5. Penganut Kristian dan orang Yahudi amat sedar di dalam Kitab Injil, Kitab Lama (Old Testament) dan Kitab Baru (New Testament), Kitab Injil versi King James dan lain-lain versi, kalimah Allah tidak pernah diguna sebagai nama Tuhan. Hanya selepas datangnya Islam dan Al Quran barulah dunia mengenali kalimah Allah sebagai nama Tuhan.
A Psychotic-Islamic preacher?
PALING BURUK LAGI ......
SAPP-Pakatan seat talks on hold as polls loom, says Bumburing
KUALA LUMPUR, Feb 5 Pakatan Rakyats (PR) chair talks with the Sabah Progressive Party (SAPP) have come to the proxy halt, PR fan Datuk Seri Wilfred Mojilip Bumburing has said, in nonetheless an additional indicator that it might be the fractured antithesis front that will face Barisan Nasional (BN) in Election 2013.
On the outset, leaders from both sides have put upon dispassionate fronts, any claiming that their doors have been regularly open yet the play during the back of sealed doors appears to be display otherwise.
Bumburing pronounced SAPP as well as PR have been finding it difficult to accommodate any other upon the chair allocation.
But when queried upon the progress of the traffic recently, ex-BN strongman Bumburing claimed the opposite.
In as distant as SAPP [is] concerned, Pakatan [is having] difficulty in easy the series of seats that they direct as well as it seems that chair nego (negotiation) with them [has] come to the hindrance as of now, Bumburing told The Malaysian Insider in an email talk over the weekend.
The Malaysian Insider additionally understands that PR is unwilling to concur seats to the Sabah-based SAPP notwithstanding the explain to have larger appeal with locals in the east Malaysian state, insisting that theirs is the some-more Chinese-dominated party.
The strength of SAPP used to be limited in the town areas. Now the Chinese electorate have been putting their await to DAP to quarrel for their rights, Bumburing said.
This was repeated during the new talk with PKR emissary boss Azmin Ali during his office in PKRs domicile in Petaling Jaya.
SAPP is especially the Chinese-based party... so who would ! represen t the KDMs (Kadazandusun as well as Murut)? Of course they explain they have been the multiracial party.... yet afterwards again, their bottom is Chinese, he said.
Bumburing, once the emissary boss of Sabah-based BN celebration United Pasokmomogun Kadazandurun Murut Organisation (UPKO), right away helms the Angkatan Perubahan Sabah (APS) movement.
Along with Pertubuhan Pakatan Perubahan Sabah (PPPS) arch Datuk Seri Lajim Ukin, additionally before the BN MP from Sabah Umno, both PR-friendly movements have been right away assisting the political agreement form an antithesis front clever sufficient to boot BN from the Sabah fortress.
Azmin pronounced that SAPPs first direct to competition in the whopping 40 of the states 60 seats was too irrational as it would leave the superfluous antithesis parties usually twenty seats to share in between themselves.
Initially, they longed for 40 seats, as well as that is not excusable to PKR, because you have PAS, DAP, APS, PPPS... you contingency all work together.
Then they pronounced they were peaceful to reduce their numbers yet the final figure, the many they could concur was usually about 5 seats... again, that is still really big, he said.
The Gombak MP, however, would not reveal the series of seats PR, APS as well as PPPS would be peaceful to share with SAPP, observant the numbers should be settled amicably during the back of sealed doors.
He concurred SAPPs evidence that the competition for Sabah should be in between locals yet pronounced the Sabah for Sabahans war cry was no longer germane after over 50 years of independence.
Even yet PKR, DAP as well as PAS have been inhabitant parties, you additionally embody the friends in Sabah as well as Sarawak.
We hold in this autonomy for Sabah as well as Sarawak yet that does not meant that PR cannot competition in Sabah each single the single of the possibilities have been Sabahans, he forked out.
But observers hold that SAPP is an critical component in PRs ! struggle for Sabah as but the celebration upon their side, the oppositions competition could outcome in three- or even four-cornered fights, that would separate the antithesis vote as well as give BN the most needed edge.
Another spanner in the works for PRs struggle in the state is the newly-formed antithesis celebration called STAR (State Reform Party) the transformation led by maverick politician Datuk Dr Jeffrey Kitingan, that has the roots in beside Sarawak.
Azmin pronounced SAPP primarily longed for to competition the whopping 40 of the states 60 seats, leaving the superfluous antithesis parties usually twenty seats to share in between themselves.
Shortly after Bumburing as well as Lajims sudden exit from BN last July, Jeffrey told The Malaysian Insider he was not jarred by the two strongmens entrance in to the already crowded antithesis conflict for Sabah.
He forked out that for the larger good of Sabah, all parties competing upon the antithesis front contingency make good upon their guarantee to work together for the purpose of toppling BN as well as not to assert some-more energy over the single another.
As distant as STAR is concerned, you have been starting to focus in the areas where you feel you have been strong. And you will discuss it them (opposition parties) that you have been not starting to concede in the core areas, he had pronounced when contacted.
But there is additionally talk of the possible partnership in between STAR as well as SAPP should SAPPs chair talks with PR hit the complete deadlock.
Observers! hold th is could set PR back, particularly since the agreement views the entrance polls as the most appropriate possibility nonetheless to wring state as well as federal energy from BN.
If SAPP as well as STAR stay outside of Pakatan there is some concern from the voters. How you know their strength as well as you hold that in the GE13, the electorate will usually have the preference in between Pakatan as well as BN, Bumburing said, agreeing.
But he added that both parties would expected be upon nonetheless an additional collision course when trying to order seats in between themselves as possibly side believes they should take the lions share.
If both parties have been unwilling to concur infancy state seats to Pakatan, afterwards I cannot see how they could concur to any other.
The respective leaders of SAPP as well as STAR have been well known for being ambitious, he said, referring to Jeffrey as well as Yong.
In the meantime, chair talks in between PRs three core parties PKR, PAS as well as DAP, as well as APS as well as PPPS, have been tighten to being wrapped up, The Malaysian Insider understands.
It has been concluded that Bumburings APS as well as Lajims PPPS will field possibilities underneath PKRs banner, as well as help the celebration plunge in to electorate from the states crucial Kadazandusun as well as Murut, as well as Malay communities.
We have been deliberating upon the emanate of that party/group is the best/strongest to plunge in to in the sold seat.
The incident in Sabah has the opposite political flavour. While celebration disunion is important, the subject of who is the candidate counts the lot in between the voters.
The rural electorate have to be taken severely because infrequently inhabitant issues have not sunk in to their understanding, Bumburing explained in the email interview.
In Election 2008, BN mislaid the prevalent two-thirds parliamentary infancy largely due to poignant losses in the peninsula, where it won u! sually 8 5 seats while the antithesis swept 80 seats.
BNs saving grace was in Sabah, Sarawak as well as Labuan where the bloc trounced the antithesis as well as done the near-clean sweep, winning 55 parliamentary seats to the oppositions two.
BN machinery shifts into gear in Sabah
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Vote BN out roadshows get moving
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Ex-cops suspect abuse of govt grant
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
A PSYCHOTIC-ISLAMIC PREACHER ?
A disgustingly ill news which came my facebook way ... a psycho-Islamic reverend sanctioned by a semmingly demented state as well as a bizarre understand of a Shariah?READ: http://rt.com/news/saudi-preacher-fine-rape-333/
-----------------------------------------------------------------
EXCERPT:
Public annoy has gripped Saudi Arabia after a prominent reverend who raped as well as kick to genocide his 5-year-old daughter was condemned to a few months in jail as well as a $ 50,000 fine known as 'blood money' to recompense a victim's relatives.
According to Islamic law, a 'blood money' can be paid in lieu of a genocide penalty. The preacher's fine was reportedly half a usual volume since a plant was a girl.
Saudi reverend Fayhan Ghamdi, a visit guest on Muslim TV networks, confessed to using cables as well as a shaft to inflict a injuries, AFP reported, quoting activists from a organisation 'Women to Drive.'
Ghamdi reportedly doubted which his daughter, Lama Ghamdi, was a virgin, as well as forced her to bear a medical inspection.
In December 2011, Lama was certified to hospital with multiple injuries, including a crushed skull, damaged ribs as well as left arm, as well as endless bruising as well as burns, according to a romantic group. Hospital worker Randa Kaleeb said which a girl's behind was broken, as well as which she had been raped "everywhere."
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ever thought how many damage has been finished to a Islam that is imported from Saudi Arabia? -- land of a matrimony between Wahabbism as well as a Saud Dynasty?
Each culture, each nation contingency disengageitself from t! his welc ome of Islamism as well as instead go for! a cultural, a jugular, as well as a real based on a own roots drawn from a unique informative philosophy if a wishes to craft an "Islamic philosophy" which responds to changing times.
Haven't we had sufficient of a arguments enforcing long rob, long beard, as well as long gowns to cover up pomposity such as a the single displayed by a psycho-Islamic criminal gone scott-free?Is this what Islam is all about these days as well as has it not been a reason because newerinterpretations of Islam everywhere to a maginitude of a Protestant/Lutheran Reformation of a 16th. century which brought a bieing born of coutless denominations in Christianity?
This universe is as well many for me currently ... as well many my head is spinning! -- ar
Read More @ Source
Bamunas & Rieke Kunjungi Warga Kota Cirebon
Kegiatan H.Bamunas S Boediman Calon Walikota Cirebon 2013-2018 "Bersih & Putih" Video Rating: 0 / 5More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Aktivis alam sekitar ancam bakar loji Lynas jika gagal tutup
Vincent Tan splurges on lavish wedding for son
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
(Video) Ribut melanda ketika Najib sedang berucap
Update:
Video Ribut Kencang melanda Program My Beautiful Malaysia di Teluk Cempedak sewaktu PM Malaysia Dato Seri Najib Razak berucap ( tidak berada di lokasi dan itu hanya Live Skrin seperti mana dijelaskan oleh pencerahan di Youtube )
( Shahnon mohamad , Di Tmn Medan, dipancarkan serentak kesemua lokasi di seluruh M,sia. PM berucap di PJ, mana dia tau ribut di TC. ) sumber dari komen di youtube.
Menurut sumber daripada Video yang dimuatkan ke laman Youtube oleh Id mritzal Ribut berlaku sebaik sahaja Perdana Menteri Malaysia iaitu Najib Razak memulakan ucapannya setelah itu Ribut kencang melanda dan merosakkan beberapa buah kanopi khemah dan kerusi disekitarnya difahamkan bahawa 1 kecederaan ringan berlaku.
-penburukonline.blog Read More @ Source
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Candlelight vigil for Sukumaran at Kajang police station
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Umno Youth offers to bring back Claudia's body
The 42-year-old, a writer with theAl-JazeeraEnglish headlines portal, as good as her colleagues were reportedly personification with rifles when a situation occurred.
The movement's community complaints business authority Muhd Khairun Aseh (seated upon a right) pronounced dual member from a business would conduct to Beirut, together with dual of Claudia's family members, to make arrangements for a return of her body.
"Our purpose is to gather detailed report upon a means of a victim's death, as good as to assist a process to move behind a body," Khairun told reporters in Kuala Lumpur today.
Meanwhile, Deputy Foreign Minister Senator A Kohilan Pillay pronounced a Malaysian Embassy in Lebanon was creation preparations to move behind a body.
Kohilan pronounced a physique was expected to arrive during a KL International Airport upon Wednesday as good as be taken to a family home in Seremban, Negeri Sembilan.
"At a same time, a Lebanese authorities have carried out a post-mortem as good as have been in a surrounded by of completing a documentation," he added.
Claudia, who was formed in Doha, Qatar, died dual days ago. She is believed to have been struck by a stray bullet in an situation during Baakleen, located in a mountainous area in Lebanon, whilst with dual Lebanese colleagues.
She had worked withThe Sunand headlines ! portal
- Bernama
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Panas: Video, Bukti Jelas Wujudnya Perkampungan Warga Burma Di Bukit Malut
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Of Professionals and Predictions
February 4, 2013
Of Professionals as well as Predictions
by etheorist (01-31-13)
"The ideas of economists as well as political philosophers, both when they have been right as well as when they have been wrong, have been some-more absolute than is commonly understood. Indeed a universe is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be utterly exempt from any intellectual influence, have been customarily a slaves of a little defunct economist."-John Maynard Keynes
I review with seductiveness here a box of a bank economist who was suspended from work for making a prediction. What is "wrong" about a prediction?
As economists, ours is a rude job in a commercial world. Every association feels it needs an economist to disintegrate what is starting upon a internal as well as tellurian economies probably half-heartedly since most CEOs feel that they do know their economics as well as they have a perspective that is correct since they have been already so successful.
So, an economist in a association is zero some-more than customarily a security sweeping to do a indispensable job of writing about what is happening or has happened as well as to discuss it them all is alright. This is a terrible job of an economist, as well as this is what we were taught in schools with all a models as well as econometric estimations that have been really all about a past since we need data (which necessarily have to be historical as well as of a past) to infer whatever we have chosen to prove.
The customarily really utilitarian thing that com! es out o f econometric modelling is a estimation of key parameters, to know either a coefficient is a low or tall worth as this will assistance us to conclude about a responsiveness of economic variables to a single another.
Once we have a sincerely great thought of what a indication looks like, afterwards may be we can have a sure of certainty to have a projection from a past in to a destiny upon a arrogance that a have up of a indication stays intact as well as applicable for a future. So, projection is a mechanical thing to do as well as it does not need most thinking.
Of course, a problem with using a variable-dependent indication to have projections is that, if we have 5 variables that will plan a single variable, as well as that we need to put in 5 destiny variables to plan one, it might customarily be easier to simply give a destiny worth for that a single non-static that we have been interested in in a initial place. Of course, we will not have a story to tell. So a model-based projection is "better" since we can say, if this is loyal as well as if that is expected to happen, afterwards this will be a projected outcome.
But predictions, to my mind, have been an wholly category of creatures all together. Projections, after all, have been often argued as well as fit as well as hidden during a back of conditions; projections have been conditional predictions. But a prediction, upon a own, is an unconditional prediction. "I contend a universe will finish tomorrow." This is a prophecy as well as a customarily thing left to do is to see either tomorrow comes.
In my mind, predictions have been meant for prophets as well as for those who have been dauntless sufficient to be able to give a attestation that "having considered a current situation as well as assessed all a possibilities for a future, what it is, we contend that this is starting to occur in a brand new year." A categoric pronouncement.
While projections have been customarily st! raight-l ine projections, predictions have been engaging customarily since they have been most fantastic when they understanding with turning points. When a have up of a indication breaks, as well as a completely brand new result catches everybody by warn or rsther than that they have incumbents really uncomfortable as well as unfortunate since a prophecy says that they have been not starting to be tomorrow where they have been today. So predictions have been formed upon an discernment in to a conditions under that a prevalent complement breaks down. Theoretically, this goes in to a area of disharmony theory, or some-more dramatically, catastrophe theory.
So, a said bank economist thought that he was making an trusting prophecy about a change of government formed upon facts that he contingency argued utterly convincingly, may be too convincingly, of a expected outcome. If true, afterwards this will be bad not to his employer (which is a bank) but his superior who is a person as if appointed by a power of a day who has been predicted to be out of business by a subsequent election.
No. To mislay a economist will be tantamount to revelation a expected defeat; removing him can customarily be fit upon a ground that is necessary to maintain open confidence, generally in a batch marketplace that unfortunately has been taken to be barometer of a soundness of a economy. So most for a illness of a system.
I can assure we that we have not written with great discernment but rsther than with great knowledge as well as wisdom. we was propitious that we had a great trainer who shielded me, but during a same time, all predictions by me were unpublished until we assimilated an industry where all kinds of predictions including hearsay as well as bad dreams have been considered gems that clients "would love" to read. we suspect we all earn a vital by a wits, literally, in a end.
Read More @ Source
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Ex-cops suspect abuse of govt grant
SYABAS & KERAJAAN PUSAT main CIUM MULUT untuk bagi KERAJAAN SELANGOR cemburu...!!
oleh AnakKedah007
"Dengan RM120 juta yang digunakan, ia menunjukkan krisis tersebut dapat diatasi jika SYABAS melabur dana sendiri untuk usaha ini sejak awal," katanya dalam satu kenyataan media hari ini.
SYABAS nak melabur awal apa kejadahnya.
Labur beli kereta, BONUS untuk BOSS2 lansung tak ingat PEKERJA bawah, melancong sana, melancong sini.
Tahu2 tuduh Kerajaan Negeri Selangor tak pandai urus air.
Nak tahu bodoh tak bodoh SYABAS nie, hari2 hujan pun mereka boleh kata EMPANGAN KEKURANGAN AIR. Menjelang 2014, Selangor & KL berpontensi KEMARAU.
SYABAS mana fikir nak mudahkan Rakyat. Nie semua belajar dari Mahathir la nie.
Kesudahannya anak Mahathir sendiri tak tolong PETRONAS, buka PETRON.
DASAR PENCACAI!!!!
KAMI UNDI PAKATAN RAKYAT!!
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Panas ! BN Kedah Terpaksa Buat Himpunan 9213 lawan Bongkar 403 juta...!!!!
Program terbaru BN diadakan kerana terdesak nak kaunter skandal RM403 juta, Rali Selamatkan Bumi Kedah 10.00pg. 9.2.13, akan berlansung di Tasik Pedu. Jom pakat pi ramai-ramai....biasalah semua free.. tapi nak habaq kat hangpa kalau nak panggil himpunan paling koman kena ada 30,000 orang yang turun....
Hellooo BN, bila lagi nak jawab isu 'duit udang Kerpan hilang RM6.15 juta'? Ingat tu reta meredak tokwan tiri hangpa ka??? Duit rakyat tuu...
RM6.15 juta hilang, RM2.16 juta disaman projek udang Projek ternakan udang di Kerpan, Ayer Hitam yang melibatkan beratus-ratus ekar tanah petani pada tahun 1993 telah berlaku penyelewengan di mana hasil keuntungan projek tersebut tidak dimasukkan ke dalam akaun bersama seperti dalam perjanjian.
Satu Perjanjian Pengurusan Projek Ternakan Udang bertarikh twenty-seven Disember 2007 ditandatangani antara Kedah Agro Industries Marketing Berhad (KAIMB) dan Kedah Aquaculture Sdn Bhd (KASB), sebuah syarikat yang ditubuhkan secara bersama antara Menteri Kewangan Diperbadankan (MKD) dan Perbadanan Menteri Besar Kedah (PMBKed) dengan pegangan nisbah keuntungan! 40:60.< br>
Hasil keuntungan projek tersebut tidak diagihkan seperti yang dipersetujui bersama. Duit itu juga tidak dimasukkan ke dalam akaun khas yang diwujudkan. Ke mana duit keuntungan sebanyak RM6.15 juta itu pergi? Adakah ia masuk ke dalam kantung dana politik UMNO?
Pada 5 Jun 2012 Mahkamah Tinggi Alor Setar mengarahkan KAIMB membayar KASB sebanyak RM2.16 juta. Kerajaan kini jugak yang kena tanggung biawak hidup tinggalan BN.
YIKed di bawah pemerintahan BN lalu gagal menyelesaikan masalah tanah yang telah dipersetujui bersama, dalam projek besar yang dimulakan di zaman Tan Sri Osman Aroff menjadi Menteri Besar.
Long Island Development Sdn Bhd (syarikat bersama YIKed + Long Island Properties) diberi tanggungjawab tebus tanah yang digadai kepada Southern Bank Berhad, tapi gagal tebus lagi sixteen keping tanah.
Atas 'arahan politik' walaupun tanah tersebut belum dimiliki, Pejabat Tanah Galian dah keluar surat hakmilik dan ubah syarat, dengan kelulusan Majlis Mesyuarat Exco. Jadi, satu tanah ada dua hak milik. Senisinga Sdn Bhd yang mengambilalih pinjaman tidak berbayar (NPL) Southern Finance Berhad menyaman YIKed RM11 juta dan mereka menang di mahkamah. YIKed terpaksa membayar RM11 juta, bayaran dibuat secara ansuran sehingga fifteen Ogos 2013.
"INGAT...Jangan Serah Kedah Dekat Penyamun!!!"
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Of Professionals and Predictions
February 4, 2013
Of Professionals as well as Predictions
by etheorist (01-31-13)
"The ideas of economists as well as political philosophers, both when they have been right as well as when they have been wrong, have been some-more powerful than is ordinarily understood. Indeed a universe is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite free from any intellectual influence, have been customarily a slaves of some gone economist."-John Maynard Keynes
I review with interest here a case of a bank economist who was suspended from work for creation a prediction. What is "wrong" about a prediction?
As economists, ours is a rude pursuit in a blurb world. Every company feels it needs an economist to disintegrate what is starting upon a internal as well as global economies probably half-heartedly since most CEOs feel that they do know their economics as well as they have a perspective that is scold since they have been already so successful.
So, an economist in a company is zero some-more than customarily a security sweeping to do a needed pursuit of writing about what is happening or has happened as well as to discuss it them all is alright. This is a terrible pursuit of an economist, as well as this is what we were taught in schools with all the models as well as econometric estimations that have been unequivocally all about a past since we need data (which necessarily have to be historical as well as of a past) to infer whatever we have chosen to prove.
The customarily unequivocally! utilita rian thing that comes out of econometric modelling is a estimation of pass parameters, to know either a fellow is a low or high worth as this will help us to interpretation about a responsiveness of mercantile variables to a single another.
Once we have a fairly great idea of what a indication looks like, afterwards may be we can have a certain of certainty to have a projection from a past in to a destiny upon a assumption that a have up of a indication stays intact as well as relevant for a future. So, projection is a automatic thing to do as well as it does not need most thinking.
Of course, a complaint with regulating a variable-dependent indication to have projections is that, if we have five variables that will plan a single variable, as well as that we need to put in five destiny variables to plan one, it might customarily be simpler to simply give a destiny worth for that a single non-static that we have been interested in in a first place. Of course, we will not have a story to tell. So a model-based projection is "better" since we can say, if this is true as well as if that is expected to happen, afterwards this will be a projected outcome.
But predictions, to my mind, have been an entirely category of creatures all together. Projections, after all, have been often argued as well as fit as well as dark during a back of conditions; projections have been conditional predictions. But a prediction, upon its own, is an umbrella prediction. "I contend a universe will finish tomorrow." This is a prophecy as well as a customarily thing left to do is to see either tomorrow comes.
In my mind, predictions have been meant for prophets as well as for those who have been dauntless enough to be able to give a attestation that "having deliberate a stream situation as well as assessed all a possibilities for a future, what it is, we contend that this is starting to happen in a brand new year." A categoric pronouncement.
While projections ! have bee n customarily straight-line projections, predictions have been interesting customarily since they have been most fantastic when they understanding with branch points. When a have up of a indication breaks, as well as a completely brand new result catches everybody by warn or rsther than that they have incumbents very worried as well as unfortunate since a prophecy says that they have been not starting to be tomorrow where they have been today. So predictions have been based upon an insight in to a conditions underneath that a prevalent complement breaks down. Theoretically, this goes in to a realm of disharmony theory, or some-more dramatically, catastrophe theory.
So, a pronounced bank economist suspicion that he was creation an innocent prophecy about a shift of supervision based upon contribution that he contingency argued quite convincingly, may be as well convincingly, of its expected outcome. If true, afterwards this will be bad not to his employer (which is a bank) though his higher who is a person as if appointed by a energy of a day who has been predicted to be out of business by a next election.
No to remove a economist will be tantamount to revelation a expected defeat; stealing him can customarily be fit upon a ground that is required to say open confidence, generally in a stock marketplace is unfortunately has been taken to be barometer of a peace of mind of a economy. So most for a health of a system.
I can assure we that we have not created with great insight though rsther than with great knowledge as well as wisdom. we was lucky that we had a great trainer who defended me, though during a same time, all predictions by me were unpublished until we assimilated an attention where all kinds of predictions including scuttle-butt as well as bad dreams have been deliberate gems that clients "would love" to read. we suspect we all earn the living by the wits, literally, in a end.
Read More @ SourceMore Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
HAMISA TIDAK PERNAH TURUN PADANG?
!
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
ELEPHANT DEATHS A WAKE-UP CALL
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |