Buzz Sociopolitics Malaysia: My predictions for the next General Elections (GE13)

My predictions for the next General Elections (GE13)

Here have been my predictions of a result of a next General Elections (assuming it is held tomorrow). What methodology do we use? Well, we sit with a glass (besar) of teh tarik as great as think. Sometimes, we competence have a roti kosong as well. If we have been not happy with my methodology, as well bad lah. Since this is my blog, we write flattering most what we like.Before we go state by state, here is a quick summary of what advantages or disvantages both sides have. (sorry la... it is quite simplistic)Barisan Nasional as well as pointsNajib is popularRosmah has recently adopted a comparatively low profileSeveral of a NKRA initiatives showing results. A lot some-more focussed compared to Pak Lah's mercantile corridorsEconomy we do pretty okayMahathir is subsidy Najib (remember what Darth Vader told Luke "do not under-estimate a power of a Dark Side")Pak Lah, Khir Toyo as great as Samy Vellu have been goneThe oath to remove ISA as great as alternative odious actsBarisan Nasional reduction pointsNFC lembu scandalUMNO's reputation batteredPerkasa & Utusan tongue spooking a non-MalaysMany unresolved/unsettled issues (TBH, Lynas, MRT, etc)Has been delayed to respond to predicament / scandalsMIC, PPP andGerakan have been weakSeveral dinosaurs still hanging aroundSelangor andPenang have been proof which Pakatan can govern wellPAS as great as DAP not quarreling as most as they used toHas! san Ali goneMany of a kataks have already jumped awayFOI (Selangor) as great as a new declaration of resources (Penang) have been public certainty boostersHas been means to strech out around alternative mediaDAP has cornered most of a Chinese

Pakatan Rakyat reduction points

No period devise (who after Anwar?)PKR's own event have been in a mess (remember it's own elections?)Sodomy appeal, sex videos still hang over AnwarNothing has changed in Kedah or Kelantan (in fact, economically, Kedah competence have regressed)
Has a Masters grade in bitching. People tend to notice.
Many oldies still hanging on (LKS, Hadi as great as Nik Aziz who is 300 years aged now)

Ok. Now let's go through state by state.

Easy to predict

Penang Pakatan wins, hands down. LGE we do a really great job. BN competence be means to win back a single or dual seats.

Johor BN wins, hands down. Despite a little jostling for a MB's in front of by local UMNO warlords, this UMNO's stronghold will stay loyal to BN.

Sabah BN wins, hands down. Although most have been discontented with BN, a antithesis is unorganized as great as chaotic. Nevertheless, BN could lose 5 or some-more state seats.

Sarawak (Parliament only). Palpatine manners here. BN will win most of a Parliamentary seats. DAP will add 1 or 2 more. !

Pahang. BN wins, hand down. Najib's state. The Lynas emanate will not lean most of a voters. PKR will keep Kuantan, DAP will keep a seats though not most some-more gains for Pakatan.

Negeri Sembilan. BN will win as great as keep two-thirds majority. NS receives a spillover benefits from a Klang Valley so a manage to buy is we do alright. As prolonged as no major predicament erupts, it will be well-spoken sailing for BN.

Melaka. BN will win as great as keep two-thirds majority. Ali Rustam is gripping a state bustling.

Perlis. So far so great for a stream state government. BN will win at slightest dual thirds of a state seats.

Terengganu. BN will win a state though design a conflict to be close. BN will win perhaps by 4 - 5 seats.

WP Kuala Lumpur (Parliament only). Pakatan will keep most seats. However BN would perform improved than previous elections. Could be 7 to Pakatan as great as 3 to BN.

Difficult to predict

Perak. The 2009 coup is still in most people's mind. Zamry is though we do a great pursuit as MB as great as a Nga-Ngeh twins were not just really renouned a last time around. Close call. BN to win.

Kelantan. Despite Nik Aziz gripping Kelantan in a Stone Age, a outstation Kelantanese will opinion to keep PAS in. The estimable federal investment competence lean a little electorate as great as BN will gain a little seats. PAS will keep Kelantan.

Kedah. Azizan has been gripping a low-profile. Several blunders over a alcohol ruling as great as tiffs with DAP. Economically Kedah is in a ennui people group to Penang as great as KL for jobs. BN will win back Kedah though it will be close.

Selangor. Khalid is we do a pretty great pursuit despite inner politicking within PKR as great as brushes with a Sultan. Hassan Ali is right away out of a way. Khir Toyo is still a most despised figure. Although Umno has made up a little grounds, Pakatan will keep Selangor. It will be close.

In conclusion, BN will perform improved in GE13 compared to GE12. Penang, Selangor as great as Kelantan will remain with Pakatan. Pakatan will made inroads in Sabah as great as Sarawak. Will BN recover two-thirds in a Parliament? Too tighten to tell.

Note : these have been a outcomes which we predict, they have been not necessarily a outcomes which we prefer.

Well folks, this is it. Just a sign which these predictions have been based on a light we saw while carrying a teh tarik. If we don't like my predictions, great we can regularly have your own predictions (and teh tarik).

Feel giveaway to disagree.

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