Singapore won't return, but if Umno keeps on bullying, Sabah and Sarawak may leave

Expelled Pas authority Hassan Ali's theory which Dap will in a future pull for Singapore's lapse to Malaysia, a scare-mongering tactic in reverse, does not hold water.

This reminds us of Singapore veteran Lee Kuan Yew warning his people not so prolonged ago which a island may have to lapse to Malaysia, literally upon bended knees, if it fails to make its way in a world.

There have been most reasons because Singapore will not or cannot lapse to Malaysia though a few distinct points will suffice for a moment to put a indicate across.

By a end of 2010, Singapore's GDP (Gross Domestic Product) overtook Malaysia's by US$ 5 billion to reach US$ 210 billion. This is notwithstanding a island state having no healthy resources, even sufficient water, as well as really little land as well as encircled by hostile, immoderate populations.

The Singapore dollar, to which a Brunei ringgit is linked and/or pegged, is additionally starting during RM 2.50 sen.

As a single result, Malaysia had to literally give away a Iskandar Development Region in south-east Johore to Singapore as an extension of it to element as well as addition continued development, negative as a semi-colony of sorts.

Still, Hassan's hare-brained theory is value re-visiting though in a reverse.

Sabah as well as Sarawak a time-bombs

The more expected scenario is which Sabah as well as Sarawak, upon a alter! native s ide of a South China Sea, is expected to exit a Malaysian Federation inside of a next 5 to 15 years.

The writing is upon a wall nonetheless Putrajaya has strived to avert or during least delay this inevitability, indefinitely, by not allowing non-Muslims from a Dusun together with Kadazan or civic Dusun as well as Murut -- as well as Dayak communities to be Chief Minister of a respective states.

For added "security", Putrajaya has turned a blind eye while hordes of impoverished illegal immigrants go upon to inundate in to a dual states as well as come in a electoral rolls by a backdoor.

Different from Penang

Some even fundamental principle which a Umno Government will kick out Penang from Malaysia in a same manner as it did in 1965 with Singapore. This is an unlikely scenario since a series of non-Chinese residents in Penang, especially Malay-speaking communities, equal which of a Chinese.

In Singapore, in 1965, a Chinese shaped 75 per cent of a island's race as well as this figure has relatively altered little since then.

It's a opposite scenario exactly in Sabah as well as Sarawak where a demographic make-up doesn't make a difference.

The augmenting possibility which Sabah as well as Sarawak will give up Malaysia is in actuality a continuation of a story of Singapore's exclusion in 1965 from a Federation as well as a warding off of Brunei, during a 11th hour, to be a member of a enlarged Federation which emerged from a Federation of Malaya.

Singapore's exit saw a definition of "Federation" in a Federal Constitution altered to revoke a status of Sabah as well as Sarawak from being equal partners of a States of Malaya in a collective, as represented by a aged Federation of Malaya, to being just a single of a most states in a "Federation".

In short, a Federation of Malaysia ceased to exist in 1965 following Singapore's exit as well as a defunct Federation of Malaya re-emerged during a same time to masquerade as a "new" Federation of Malaysia.

The outcome of this thespian shift in fortunes has been which a Federal Government refused and/or saw no need to imitate with a conditions of a 1963 Malaysia Agreement. It was underneath this Agreement which Sabah as well as Sarawak agreed, along with Singapore, Brunei (opted out) as well as Malaya, to form a Federation of Malaysia.

Singapore's seats were grabbed, so was oil

Singapore's exit additionally saw Malaya receiving seven of a island's 15 seats in a Malaysian Parliament instead of all of them starting to Sabah as well as Sarawak.

The arrangement in 1963 was which Malaya should have less than two-thirds of a seats in Parliament in order to safeguard which alternative territories in a Federation Sabah, Sarawak, Brunei would have veto power.

Today, Malaya has more than two-thirds of a seats in Parliament 165 vs 57 together with Labuan vis--vis Sabah as well as Sarawak. Hence, a motive for Sabah as well as Sarawak to go upon to be in a supposed Federation of Malaysia serve falls apart.

When pull comes to shove a break will come when a discuss re-opens upon a oil kingship for Sabah as well as Sarawak.

A one-sided oil agreement of 1976 sees a Federal Government as well as Petronas, a inhabitant oil corporation, giving usually 5 per cent kingship for oil as well as gas prolongation from wells in a middle waters really few as well as possibly dry or increasingly parching as well as nothing from a infinitely vast series of wells in a outdoor waters.

The outcome has been which Sabah as well as Sarawak have been marked down over a! final n early 50 years to being a lowest as well as second lowest states respectively in Malaysia.

Now, even an upward review in a currently measly 5 per cent will be definitely incomprehensible if a outdoor waters have been released in a calculation.

There additionally remains a actuality which any upward review of a oil kingship would have to be, in all fairness, backdated to 1976 when a practical theft began, as well as interest paid upon a balance during a statutory 8 per cent per annum, as well as compounded yearly.

For how prolonged can they overpower Sabah as well as Sarawak

This is a situation which a Umno-led Federal Government will never accept in a million years since a rob since 1976 has possibly disappeared in to private pockets in Peninsular Malaysia or been consumed away with no thought for tomorrow as well as future generations.

Malaysia will be broke if Sabah as well as Sarawak press their legitimate claims upon a oil kingship issue. But which doesn't mean a stalemate upon both sides.

The recent examples of Timor Leste, Acheh, as well as South Sudan as well as a stability emanate of Darfur as well as South Kordofan all upon a oil issue, shows which history as well as general law is upon a side of Sabah as well as Sarawak. Timor Leste as well as South Sudan both became independent by a intervention of a UN Security Council while Acheh gained autonomy. Darfur as well as South Kordofan have been work in progress.

It's not loyal which usually states can move applications to a UN Security Council. Any celebration can do so as illustrated by a application from a Syrian Opposition right away underneath discussion during a UN Security Council. It's usually a matter of time prior to Sabah as well as Sarawak move up their oil as well as gas reserves during a UN Se! curity C ouncil. Putrajaya cannot go upon to squat upon Sabah as well as Sarawak forever.

Now you know because Taib Mahmud as well as Musa Aman have been so powerful

The unavoidable outcome will be a exit of Sabah as well as Sarawak, a dual lowest states, from a supposed Federation of Malaysia. Only autonomy from Malaysia underneath UN supervision will enable Sabah as well as Sarawak to find their loyal future in a general village of nations.

Is it any consternation now, a likes of Sarawk Chief Minister Taib Mahmud as well as Sabah's Musa Aman, have been since a giveaway palm in a using of a states, notwithstanding a mountain of complainst as well as obvious justification of corruption together with land-grabbing, timber abuse as well as rape of indigenous women by workers of crony firms.

Without them to suppress a Sarawak as well as Sabah people, a dual states would have prolonged fled a Federation, incompetent to ward off a bullying from Umno.

Malaysia Chronicle