The 12th ubiquitous choosing in 2008 produced a devastating outcome for Barisan Nasional. BN received 49 per cent of popular votes in a Peninsula while a antithesis gained a combined vote of 51 per cent.
Nationally, after taking into comment of votes from Sabah as well as Sarawak, a tally was reversed with BN 51 per cent contra a antithesis during 49 per cent.
In terms of seats, upon 8th March 2008, BN gained 85 seats in a Peninsula while a antithesis 80 seats.
The antithesis managed to get usually a single (Bandar Kuching) of a 31 parliamentary seats in Sarawak as well as a single (Kota Kinabalu) of twenty-five in Sabah. In a Peninsula, a antithesis won a single (Bakri) of twenty-six seats in Johor as well as dual (Kuantan as well as Indera Mahkota) of Pahang's 13 parliamentary seats.
The four "fixed deposit" states of BN has a sum of 95 seats. A shift of sovereign supervision will occur if a antithesis wins a third of a parliamentary seats in a states of Sabah, Sarawak, Johore as well as Pahang.
Besides a economic issues such as acceleration as well as depleting value of income, a coming 13th ubiquitous choosing will also be based upon these factors:
1. Malay votes have been sensitive to issues of corruption, abuse of energy as well as bullying tactics against political foes (think about Anwar Ibrahim, Adam Adli, etc);
2. At slightest dual normal vote banks of Umno Felda as well as a polite service have been in jittery due to bad policy choices (listing of FGV as well as a brand new income scheme).
3. ! The Indi an support for BN is not as plain as it was thought. There have been divides along a line of North-South (Pakatan Rakyat is not really clever in southern Peninsula), urban-estate (access to pick information is minimal in estates), center class-poor (the bad being more understanding of BN, for whatever reasons).
4. The Chinese support for BN has serve eroded since 2008, interjection to Perkasa as well as Utusan.
5. In Utusan as well as Perkasa's fervour to promote its exclusivist causes, a outrageous shred of "fixed deposits" a Sabah as well as Sarawak Christian Bumiputra have been alienated.
6. Sabah Umno as possible aristocrat maker. Umno won usually 79 of a 112 sovereign seats it contested in 2008. Of which 13 comes from Sabah as well as a single from Labuan. Essentially, a Peninsula Umno won usually 65 seats.
7. Sarawak Chief Minister Taib Mahmud as possible aristocrat maker. Allegedly Najib Razak dislikes Taib. If a Prime Minister does not do anything prior to a subsequent poll, with 14 parliamentary seats which his Parti Pesaka Bumiputra Bersatu (PBB) is likely to retain, Taib might reason a change of power.
Let's be clear during a onset that BN has all a built-in advantages as a incumbent. After all, elections in Malaysia were never conducted fairly.
Nearly everyone in BN believes that with Najib's alphabet soup management, a statute coalition has recovered from its misfortune in 2008. Some bring by-election victories. Others say this Prime Minister doesn't sleep in meetings.
However, longevity during helm is a negative cause for BN. Apart from a undemocratic communist regimes similar to China, Vietnam as well as North Korea, BN (and its prototype a Alliance) is a longest serving elected supervision in a world.
Perhaps it has overstayed its welcome.
The Rocket
Filem Pendek ~ Hukum Hudud~ Oley!!.
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Courtesy of Bonology.com Politically Incorrect Buzz & Buzz
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