THE CORRIDORS OF POWER
Raja Petra Kamarudin
Penang has some-more Malays than Chinese
(The Star) - The series of Malays in Penang is increasing, as good as they right away outnumber a Chinese by 0.7%.
In 2009, a race of Malays was during 654,300, usually ahead of 651,600 Chinese or usually a 0.1% difference.
In 2010, it widened to 0.7% with 41.6% or 670,100 of a estimated 1.6mil Penang race being Malays whilst 658,700 or 40.9% were Chinese.
According to statistics, a dual races were followed by 9.7% Indians (155,600), 7% non-Malaysians (112,200) as good as 0.8% others as good as alternative bumiputras (13,300).
The statistics, performed from Department of Statistics, is partial of a 32-page Penang Statistics (Quarter 1, 2010) report submitted to a state government by a Socio-Economic as good as Environmental Research Institute (Seri), that is a state government's think-tank.
The report can be viewed during Seri's website atwww.seri.com.my.
Bukit Bendera MP Liew Chin Tong of DAP (picture above) pronounced a direction was not startling or unusual.
"It's a inhabitant trend. It is not that a Chinese race didn't grow yet a Malay race is growing faster."
"We have been awaiting thi! s to occ ur since a 1980s since of a 70 million race process announced by former prime apportion Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad," he pronounced yesterday.
However, Liew, who is Seri executive executive as good as DAP strategist, pronounced a direction was a good opportunity for DAP.
"To me, it's not about a disappearing series of people from a sure race, yet some-more about peculiarity of life," he said.
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The many often listened remark since a emanate of a Mar 2008 ubiquitous choosing is that 80-90% of a Chinese all over Malaysia -- even in Sabah as good as Sarawak -- will be choosing by casting votes antithesis in a entrance ubiquitous choosing whilst a Indians as good as Malays have been separate 50-50.
The second many often listened remark being bandied about is that Penang will, without a doubt, remain with Pakatan Rakyat since Penang is infancy Chinese.
Mainly, a assumption is, in Mar 2008, Malaysia saw a domestic Tsunami as good as in a entrance ubiquitous choosing this Tsunami is starting to get even bigger. Hence, whilst Pakatan Rakyat managed to sweep five states as good as 82 Parliament seats in Mar 2008 -- as good as in that same process denied Barisan Nasional a two-thirds infancy in Parliament -- this time around Pakatan Rakyat is starting to do even improved as good as will send Barisan Nasional in to retirement.
The emanate is: is this an educated guess, a end based upon research, or mere wishful thinking as good as self-hypnosis in to saying what is not there?
There have been a little who consider my articles upon story tedious as good as a total waste of time. "Why speak about a past?" they ask me, "the past is not important."
That depends, of course, upon what your role of guidance story is. If Hitler had schooled from a past, afterwards he would not have done a same mistake that Napoleon done as good as as a result ! Germany competence not have lost a war, or maybe would not have lost a fight so fast.
And whilst upon a theme of Napoleon, a little historians contend that Napoleon was a troops genius. Now, this is merely their opinion. What is a basement of classifying someone as a troops genius? If it is upon a basement that he moved his armed forces opposite Europe so quick (Blitzkrieg) that he held a enemy sleeping, afterwards substantially he is a troops genius. But if based upon a estimated 5 million-6.5 million people who were killed in a Napoleonic Wars, would a single still consider Napoleon a genius? How can someone who resulted in 5 million or some-more deaths be a genius?
Hence, how we perceive things would influence your conclusions. And story is positively not an exact scholarship since story is not merely about stating a events yet about interpreting a events as well. Hence, also, Osama Bin Ladin can be both hero as good as killer depending upon what yardstick we apply.
Statistics normally do not distortion -- unless we alloy those statistics. But how we appreciate those census data can talk about depending upon what colour lenses we have been regulating to look during them. For example, no a single will dispute a existence of a Qur'an. But whether we regard a Qur'an as God's word or not would depend upon how we look during things.
The bottom line is: a single fact, yet dual opposite interpretations of that a single fact.
Okay, let's get behind to a Mar 2008 Tsunami being bigger in a entrance ubiquitous election.
For someone similar to me who wants to see a strong two-party complement where we give a single organisation a government for, say, dual terms, as good as afterwards switch to a alternative organisation for, say, an additional dual terms, a strong Tsunami that everybody says we will see is positively a many welcome scenario.
The adage that absolute energy corrupts positively is positively true as good as we ! need not be a student of story to assimilate that. Hence we need a balance, as good as that balance can usually be completed when we have dual strong domestic parties (and not a single strong a single as good as a single weak one).
Nevertheless, is this even bigger Tsunami than a a single in Mar 2008 for real? And what do we base our conclusions on?
Let us look during a Kuala Terengganu Parliamentary by-election (P036) that was held in Jan 2009, about ten months after a Mar 2008 Tsunami. You can look during a sum or census data below.
The audience in that by-election was somewhat reduce than in a ubiquitous choosing ten months before that. And this was since a audience for Chinese electorate was greatly reduced.
we spent that entire period in Kuala Terengganu together with a couple of alternative Bloggers such as Haris Ibrahim (Sam), Bernard Khoo (Zorro), etc. Even Zaid Ibrahim, who was not in PKR nonetheless during that time, came up to stick upon us for 3 days. And we campaigned door-to-door, not once, yet 3 rounds in all -- even Zaid Ibrahim. We even went to all a pubs as good as clubs to encounter a Chinese voters.
Hence, we performed feedback from a 'horses' mouths', so to speak. And what we were told was this.
Many of a Chinese electorate (mainly a younger ones who work outward Kuala Terengganu) would not be entrance home to opinion since they want to haven their leave for Chinese New Year. (That's what we call 'commitment').
Most Chinese would be choosing by casting votes Barisan Nasional since they worry that if they opinion PAS they might get punished by Umno (especially those from Kampong Cina whose homes sit upon TOL land).
The Chinese feel that a infancy of a Malays would be choosing by casting votes PAS so it does not make a difference if a Chinese opinion Barisan Nasional. (PAS can still win even yet with a marked down majority).
Sam as good as Bernard can tell we about this! 'survey ' that we did since they as good were there as good as they as good listened what a Chinese had to say. Understandably, this upset us as good as we were worried that if a Chinese did what they pronounced they were starting to do, as good as if a Malays do not swing to PAS similar to we hoped, afterwards Umno was starting to win that by-election. (It was, after all, an Umno seat, that they won in Mar 2008).
And that was when we motionless to shift tactics. Initially, we usually campaigned amongst a Chinese voters. But when we discovered that a Chinese would not all be choosing by casting votes opposition, we proposed campaigning amongst a Malay electorate as good (who we had 'ignored' in a beginning).
Come Polling Day as good as what we were told was starting to occur really did happen. Many younger Chinese who work outward Kuala Terengganu did not come home to vote. The actuality that we were monitoring a polling stations as good as we saw often comparison adult Chinese entrance out to opinion confirmed this.
Next, a areas or UPU that were primarily Malay went to a antithesis whilst a areas that had a fair series of Chinese electorate went to Umno.
And a voter audience was reduce than for a GE, in particular amongst a Chinese voters. Plus, also, a infancy that PAS won was 2,000 less than we had hoped. (And note a tall 'spoilt' votes -- considering that a electorate were urban as good as not rural).
Pakatan Rakyat is ostensible to win a entrance ubiquitous choosing upon a strength of a Chinese support. And a Chinese await this time around is ostensible to be bigger than in Mar 2008.
we did not see that occur in Kuala Terengganu. In fact, a retreat happened. In areas where there have been a tall commission of Chinese voters, a antithesis did improved in Mar 2008 than it did in Jan 2009. And in Jan 2009, a Tsunami was ostensible to have been bigger than in Mar 2008, as what we have been being told.
Is a story t! hat, tod ay, some-more Chinese have swung to a antithesis compared to Mar 2008 a fallacy? What justification have been we regulating to come to this conclusion? we worry that we have been merely fooling ourselves as good as have been subjecting ourselves to self-hypnosis. The census data do not appear to await what we say.
Another indicate of significance is: if we depend upon usually Chinese votes for a antithesis to win a election, afterwards we have been starting to emanate a situation where 'opposition' equates to 'Chinese' as good as 'government' equates to 'Malay'.
Now, do we need to spell out in graphic sum a risk of such a thing happening? And if we still do not get what we am pushing during afterwards we should not be readingMalaysia Todaybecause we have been not clever sufficient forMalaysia Today.
Oh, as good as yes, we know, those of we who find what we usually wrote intensely unsettling have been right away starting to credit me of spinning for Barisan Nasional. Well, that is called denial syndrome, an ailment of people who refuse to accept reality. If we was assisting Barisan Nasional afterwards we would usually keep quiet instead of warning we that we need to do your maths again.
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Kuala Terengganu Parliament Seat (P036)
80,229 registered voters
63,993 came out to vote
32,883 voted for PAS
30,252 voted for Umno
665 spoilt votes
The 4 State Assembly seats underneath Kuala Terengganu
1. Wakaf Mempelam (Umno)
2. Bandar (MCA)
3. Ladang (PAS)
4. Batu Buruk (PAS)
Voter breakdown according to ethnicity
Malays: 88.14%
Chinese: 10.94%
Indians! : 0.65%< /div>
More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Others: 0.27%
In a Kuala Terengganu by-election upon 7th Jan 2009, PAS did good in a Malay-majority seats of Wakaf Mempelam as good as Batu Buruk whilst it did really bad in Ladang as good as Bandar, that has a higher commission of Chinese voters.
Read More @ Source More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
Courtesy of Bonology.com Politically Incorrect Buzz & Buzz
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