I have just review P Gunasegaram's articleWho will win GE13?in Malaysiakini. He has really methodically, as good as you hold quite logically, laid down his points that argue that it will be the difficult struggle for Pakatan to secure the infancy of sovereign seats in Peninsula to explain rule aftertheelection.
But he pronounced it's difficult though not impossible, usingtheMarch 2008 results as indicative of Pakatan achieving the 'impossible'.
But he cautioned that it will expected be the really close call, where in such the situation, every single opinion will count, some-more than ever before in Malaya/Malaysia's 55 years' history as an eccentric nation.
Malaysian governing body is the story of governing body of competition or, if you like, competition in politics. Unfortunately you can't shun secular discussions in governing body given in truth you haven't yet possess competent bearing (or trust) as good as to illustrate the required shun quickness to overcome the powerful gravitational pull, that compels us in to some-more mundane Earthly understanding of the issues.
One insight Gunasegaram shared with us in his essay has been that the Chinese opinion bank is some-more or less already owned by Pakatan, as good as to illustrate any serve enlarge in Chinese await will expected not be as dramatically poignant as it had been in 2008.
Whatever assuage gains Pakatan will serve obtain from the Chinese in GE-13 will substantially be in the little MCA-held seats in Johor.
Also, rumours have it that Hishamuddin Hussein will be becoming different his chair for an additional as 40% of the registered electorate in his stream subdivision of Sembrong have been Chinese, so thatcouldwell be the pending Pakatan seat.
Of course there might be gains in additional Chinese-majority seats in Sabah as good as Sarawak, though I'll leave this zone to betterinformedpeopleto illuminate me.
One vivid omission in Gunasegaram'sarticlehas been the Indian factor in Peninsula. Remember how Uthayakuamar as good as hissupportersand sympathizers kept telling us it wastheHindraf-galvanized Indian mass that enabled Pakatan to achieve the 2008 choosing wins, ...
... as good as how he would repel that Hindraf-ized Indian await for Pakatan if the coalition doesn't attend to as good as accept his HRP's multiform demands, oneofwhich had been the right to competition in 7 parliamentary seats as good as sixteen state seats though Pakatan's participation, formed upon the Free Malaysia Today's inform upon fourteen September ! 2011 tit ledHRP final 23 seats from Pakatan.
The seven parliamentary seats he longed for were:
(1) Padang Serai (Kedah) now hold by Gobalakrishnan, before PKR,
(2) Batu Kawan (Penang) now hold by Dr Ramasamy (DAP)
(3) Ipoh Barat (Perak) now hold by Kulasegaran (DAP)
(4) Kota Raja (Selangor) now hold by Siti Mariah Mahmud (PAS)
(5) Teluk Kemang (Negri Sembilan)currently hold by Kamarul Baharin Abbas (PKR)
(6) Cameron Highlands (Pahang)currently hold by Devamany Krishnasamy (MIC), and
(7) Tebrau (Johor) now hold by Teng Book Soon (MCA).
Now, hasn't Uthayakumar just beenthebrightest hint in the category in asking Pakatan to meekly surrender 5 of their sovereign seats for his HRP to competition in GE-13, with 3 of the 5 seats hold by his join forces with Indians?
Surely this calls for the re-readingofmy postMalaysian Racism & The 3 Baskets of ! Crabsat my alternative blogBolehTalk, wakakaka.
T! he sixte en state seats he longed for were Bukit Selambau as good as Lunas (Kedah), Prai as good as Bagan Dalam (Penang), Buntong as good as Hutan Melintang (Perak), Port Dickson as good as Jeram Padang (Negri Sembilan), Tanah Rata as good as Ketari (Pahang), Puteri Wangsa as good as Tiram (Johor) as good as Sri Andalas, Ijok, Seri Setia as good as Bukit Melawati (Selangor).
You can work it out how many of those seats have been now hold by Pakatan. Help you with the couple: Khalid Ibrahim binds Ijok, wakakaka, as good as Dr Ramasamy binds Prai, wakakaka again.
What do you reckon Pakatan would have told him? Maybe something similar to this:
You claimed to have gifted mandores
In 2008 with the Hindraf vacant cheque
Now you instruct us to be similar to whores
To give in as good as distortion down upon the back
Perhaps mandores you might good be
Though if you design us to give in
To final so big-headedly crazy
Tambi, we'd be committing the large sin
Wakakaka, as good as you amnotsure either Uthayakumar is still insisting upon these 23 seats.
But anyway, behind upon track, you instruct Gunasegaram had analysed the Indian factor in his article.
On the single palm people similar to Uthaykuma! r claimed that it had been Indian await that enabled Pakatan to win such the large feat in 2008, as good as should that be true, afterwards given new analyses that about 80% of Indians have returned totheBN fold, what does that spell for Pakatan alternativ! e than l arge trouble.
Ontheother, that you am inclined towards, yestheIndians did contribute to the Pakatan feat in 2008 though they weren't the many impactful force behind the tsunami sweepingour domestic landscape.
In arguing against the speculation of Hindraf being the principal winning factor, you drew comparison to an progressing tsunami in 1969 when Hindraf was not even in existence (and Anwar Ibrahim was the youngish twenty something) yet that saw BN's predecessor, Perikatan (Alliance) mislaid humongously.
Gerakan celebrating the 1969 victorySyed Hussein Alatas with pipe, his arms around Lim Chong Eu
I settled thatthePakatan feat in 2008, as the feat forthe loose spontaneous agreement ofGerakan-DAP-PPP (includingeven spontaneous join forces with PAS) in 1969, happened given many electorate had had enoughofBN as good as respectively Perikatan, as good as were rebuilt to change, as good as not given of any sold NGO. It calls in to question the speculation of Hindraf beingthe primaryearth-shakingforce in Mar 2008.
Najib's genuine 'fixed deposit', wakakaka We additionally need torememberthat Hindraf had not been an exclusive Uthayakumar's one-man effort though that saw front line appearance by DAP members, oneofwhom, M Manoharan, is an ADUN who won Kota Alam Shah chair whilst he was behind ISA jail as the Hindraf leader. So not all Hindraf supporters would indispensably boycott Pakatan.
It's additionally poignant to note that Manoharan won in the Chinese infancy seat, defeatingtheBN Chinese claimant by the resounding infancy of some-more than 7500 votes in the subdivision of usually 26000 voters. Thus it's expected the DAP brand rsther than than Hindraf tag that had enabled Manoharan to turn an ADUN in Selangor.
Manoharan So you privately hold the Indians ancillary BN, whilst certainlynot enlightened to Pakatan, willnothave that extreme outcome as threatened by the crab (in the basket, wakakaka).
Leaving aside the Sabah as good as Sarawak factors, as good as let's not deny they will be really BIG factors, the fight in GE-13 that will produce large earth shaking results in Peninsula will be for the hearts of the Heartland.
This is certainlythebelief of RPK as enunciated in his postWhy is Dr Mahathir such an idiot?, atitlewhich belies the domestic shrewdness of the former PM.
as if observant "up yours, you mongrels" wakakaka RPK wrote (extracts only):
The usually thing that can save Umno would be the Malay votes -- that determine roughly two-thirds of the seats in West Malaysia.
And that is why what they have been doing/saying is not to win the hearts as good as mind of the Chinese as good as Indian voters. It is as good late to win the hearts as good as minds of the Chinese as good as Indian voters. They need to win the hearts as good as minds of the Malay voters. And to do that they need to do as good as say what they have been now you do as good as saying.
While this might dissapoint the Chinese as good as Indians, who have been not going to opinion for Umno anyway, it pacifies the Malays. And it is the Malays they instruct to pacify, not the Chinese as good as Indians, who have made it really transparent they have been not going to opinion Barisan Nasional or Umno come hell or high water.
And that might be why they had expelled the hounds of hell to 'threaten' to seize as good as burn bibles, to assure the Heartland that "Pakatan Rakyat" is their defender of Islam.
Maybe you have beensyiok-sendiri-i! shlymistaken (kidding ourselves) about "Pakatan Rakyat" being the divided house, when in actuality they have been personification Sun Tze's'inflict damage upon oneself to win the enemy's trust', where Najib by pretending to be 'injured' from "Pakatan Rakyat" intra-party fighting, lulls his rivalry in to relaxing his guard given he longer considers Najib to be an immediate threat.
Thus, maybe Najib plays being the plant of ultra rightwing forces within "Pakatan Rakyat" in amanmanlaihope to secure as many Chinese as good as Indian magnetism votes as possible, or remonstrate Chinese as good as Indians to 'help' bad Ah Jib Gor against "Pakatan Rakyat" rightwing forces,for as Gunasegaram mentioned, every opinion will count, ...
c'mon MCA as good as Gerakan, own up, that the single of you orderly this, wakakaka ... whilst his "Pakatan Rakyat" colleagues (orsifu, wakakaka) assures (and secures) theHeartlandthat all's good as good as 8 bells under aHang Tuah-ishUMNO, though Najib couldn't help though additionally hide in the revisit to Gaza, just to seaside up his Islamic-Muslim pro-Arab credentials, wakakaka.
If so, afterwards it's the brilliant pincer conflict whichwouldhave earnedtheadmirationofthe Carthaginiangeneral Hannibal (or during least his soul).
Hannibal Hannibal conducted such the pincer conflict atthe Battle of Cannae in 216 BCE to better the Romans, that troops historians deliberate to be the initial successful executionofthe movement as good as the single of history's greatest terrain manoevres.
Battle of Cannae Anyway, the week ago Debra Chong of The Malaysian Insider serve illuminated the understanding of competition in governing body with her articleFor Pakatan, Election 2013 not the wander in the park. She informed us about the Merdeka Centre consult that polled thepreference of pure (first time) voters, providing findings as follows:
(a) Najib's popularity rating was available during 49% of polled sample, consisting of:
- 64% Indians approval
- 60% Malay approval
Alas,thearticle was less transparent upon the capitulation of Chinese pure electorate for Najib, stating instead that 60% of them were dissapoint with bad Najib.
But you don't hold this can be directly translated in to 40% Chinese pure electorate commendatory or fondness him, wakakaka. That'sthedanger of misinterpreting consult results though the headlines article, unless the actual inform is thoroughly examined. Thus you don't how many percent of Chinese initial time electorate authorize of Ah Jib Gor though you dare say not many, wakakaka.
The 40% or 4%? wakakaka (b) BN capitulation rating was usually 41%,supportingthe evidence that Najib is distant some-more renouned than his team. Maybe hisSun Tze-inghas paid off, wakakaka.
(c) Now this aspect of the consult is distant some-more important. It's about what the initial time electorate cruise as critical issues, whichobviouslywill change their votingpreferences.
The consult saidtheyoung Chinese were many endangered about corruption, whilst immature Malays were about competition as good as religion. Alas, this might dissapoint Uthayakumar though the TMI essay didn't say anything about Indian concerns.
IftheChinese sampling expressed they were many endangered about corruption, guess who afterwards will they be choosing by casting votes for? Wakakaka.
But the many educational explanation from the polls has been that of half of the first-time (Peninsula) Malay electorate polled. These pure electorate pronounced they would no longer swallow scaremongering about their secular position being encroached upon by alternative ethnic groups,BUTthey would still instruct to see politicians debate Malay as good as equality rights than speak about vital costs or crime ...
... that is the same as observa! nt they have been still really endangered about their rights as good as sacrament than costofliving or corruption, etc.
Does this mean they have been some-more expected to go upon swallowing the "Pakatan Rakyat"-Perkasa propaganda of the Yellow Peril being during the gates as good as breaking them down, in spite oftheirclaim not to swallow cock & longhorn story from ablokelikeIbrahim Ali or numerousotherUMNO mouthpieces?
Andgnam gnam, you see the stream exploitationofthisconcern as reported by TMI's articleFriday sermon: 'Enemies' of Islam staking explain over 'Allah' to confuse Muslimswhere JAKIM told Muslims that"... being as good open-minded as good as allowing Islamic rights tobeabused byotherreligionswas adangerousact."
Oh dear oh dear, oh dearie me,theUMNO onslaught of Goebbels-ism is relentless.
Okay, so Dr Mahathir has got it right, as good as you suspect PAS as good doesn't instruct to remove out upon the Heartland votes. Thus screw the concerns of the Chinese.
But you opine thereis the difference in between "Pakatan Rakyat" as good as PASvis--visChinese electorate in GE-13.
UMNOknowsit can no longer rest upon or design Chinese votes as good as has factored out any hopes for them. If Najib canmanmanlai
But you assimilate PAS is contingent upon these Chinese votes in, you was told, about 60 sovereign constituencies, where Chinese have traditionally not upheld the Moon Party, though that they goal this time, withthehelp of PKR as good as generally DAP, tomanmanlaithem in to choosing by casting votes the party by to Putrajaya.
If such is the case, afterwards it is PAS rsther than than "Pakatan Rakyat" that is caught betweenthe (Cina) Devil andtheDeepBlueGreen Sea.
But you disbelief Uthayakumar will help them with his Hindraf force, wakakaka.
Posted byKTemoc
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