I have usually read P Gunasegaram's articleWho will win GE13?in Malaysiakini. He has really methodically, as good as you hold utterly logically, laid down his points which argue which it will be a difficult struggle for Pakatan to secure a infancy of sovereign seats in Peninsula to claim rule aftertheelection.
But he pronounced it's difficult yet not impossible, usingtheMarch 2008 formula as indicative of Pakatan achieving a 'impossible'.
But he cautioned which it will expected be a really close call, where in such a situation, every singular vote will count, some-more than ever prior to in Malaya/Malaysia's 55 years' hi! story as an eccentric nation.
Malaysian governing body is a story of governing body of competition or, if you like, competition in politics. Unfortunately you can't escape secular discussions in governing body since in truth you haven't yet retain adequate thrust (or trust) as good as thus a required escape quickness to strike a absolute gravitational pull, which compels us in to some-more mundane Earthly bargain of a issues.
One discernment Gunasegaram common with us in his essay has been which a Chinese vote bank is some-more or reduction already owned by Pakatan, as good as thus any serve increase in Chinese await will expected not be as dramatically poignant as it had been in 2008.
Whatever assuage gains Pakatan will serve acquire from a Chinese in GE-13 will probably be in a little MCA-held seats in Johor.
Also, rumours have it which Hishamuddin Hussein will be changing his chair for another as 40% of a registered electorate in his stream constituency of Sembrong have been Chinese, so thatcouldwell be a tentative Pakatan seat.
Of course there might be gains in a single some-more Chinese-majority seats in Sabah as good as Sarawak, though I'll leave this zone to betterinformedpeopleto enlighten me.
One vivid repudiation in Gunasegaram'sarticlehas been a Indian cause in Peninsula. Remember how Uthayakuamar as good as hissupportersand sympathizers kept telling us it wastheHindraf-galvanized Indian mass which enabled Pakatan to achieve a 2008 choosing wins, ...
... as good as how he would withdraw which Hindraf-ized Indian await for Pakatan if a coalition doesn't listen to as good as accept his HRP's several demands, oneofwhich had been a right to contest in 7 parliamentary seats as good as 16 state seats without Pakatan's participation, formed upon a Free Malaysia Today's report upon 14 Sep 2011 titled HRP demands twenty-three seats from Pakatan.
The seven parliamentary seats he longed for were:
(1) Padang Serai (Kedah) now hold by Gobalakrishnan, formerly PKR,
(2) Batu Kawan (Penang) now hold by Dr Ramasamy (DAP)
(3) Ipoh Barat (Perak) now hold by Kulasegaran (DAP)
(4) Kota Raja (Selangor) now hold by Siti Mariah Mahmud (PAS)
(5) Teluk Kemang (Negri Sembilan)currently hold by Kamarul Baharin Abbas (PKR)
(6) Cameron Highlands (Pahang)currently hold by Devamany Krishnasamy (MIC), and
(7) Tebrau (Johor) now hold by Teng Book Soon (MCA).
Now, hasn't Uthayakumar usually beenthebrightest hint in a class in asking Pakatan to meekly surrender 5 of their sovereign seats for his HRP to contest in GE-13, with 3 of a 5 seats hold by his associate Indians?
Surely this calls for a re-readingofmy postMalaysian Racism & The 3 Baskets of Crabsat my alternative blogBolehTalk, wakakaka.
The 16 state seats he longed for were Bukit Selambau as good as Lunas (Ke! dah), Pr ai as good as Bagan Dalam (Penang), Buntong as good as Hutan Melintang (Perak), Port Dickson as good as Jeram Padang (Negri Sembilan), Tanah Rata as good as Ketari (Pahang), Puteri Wangsa as good as Tiram (Johor) as good as Sri Andalas, Ijok, Seri Setia as good as Bukit Melawati (Selangor).
You can work it out how many of those seats have been now hold by Pakatan. Help you with a couple: Khalid Ibrahim binds Ijok, wakakaka, as good as Dr Ramasamy binds Prai, wakakaka again.
What do you reck! upon Pakatan! would have told him? Maybe something similar to this:
You claimed to have means mandores
In 2008 with a Hindraf vacant cheque
Now you instruct us to be similar to whores
To give in as good as lie down upon a back
Perhaps mandores you might good be
Though if you design us to give in
To demands so big-headedly crazy
Tambi, we'd be committing a large sin
Wakakaka, as good as you amnotsure whether Uthayakumar is still insisting upon these twenty-three seats.
But anyway, back upon track, you instruct Gunasegaram had analysed a Indian cause in his article.
On a single palm people similar to Uthaykumar claimed which it had been Indian await which enabled Pakatan to win such a large feat in 2008, as good as should which be true, afterwards since recent analyses which about 80% of Indians ! have retu! rned totheBN fold, what does which spell for Pakatan alternative than large trouble.
Ontheother, which you am prone towards, yestheIndians did minister to a Pakatan feat in 2008 though they weren't a many impactful force behind a tsunami sweepingour domestic landscape.
In arguing opposite a speculation of Hindraf being a principal winning factor, you drew some-more aged to an earlier tsunami in 1969 when Hindraf was not even in existence (and Anwar Ibrahim was a youngish 20 something) yet which saw BN's predecessor, Perikatan (Alliance) mislaid humongously.
Gerakan celebrating a 1969 victorySyed Hussein Alatas with pipe, his arms around Lim Chong Eu
I stated thatthePakatan feat in 2008, as a feat forthe lax spontaneous pact ofGerakan-DAP-PPP (includingeven spontaneous associate PAS) in 1969, happened since many electorate had had enoughofBN as good as respectively Perikatan, as good as were rebuilt to change, as good as not since of any particular NGO. It calls in to subject a speculation of Hindraf beingthe primaryearth-shakingforce in Mar 2008.
Najib's genuine 'fixed deposit', wakakakaWe additionally need torememberthat Hindraf had not been an exclusive Uthayakumar's one-man effort though which saw front line appearance by DAP members, oneofwhom, M Manoharan, is an ADUN who won Kota Alam Shah chair whilst he was behind ISA jail as a Hindraf leader. So not all Hindraf supporters would indispensably boy! cott Paka! tan.
It's additionally poignant to note which Manoharan won in a Chinese infancy seat, defeatingtheBN Chinese candidate by a resounding infancy of some-more than 7500 votes in a constituency of usually 26000 voters. Thus it's expected a DAP brand rsther than than Hindraf tag which had enabled Manoharan to become an ADUN in Selangor.
ManoharanSo you privately hold a Indians ancillary BN, whilst certainlynot enlightened to Pakatan, willnothave which extreme effect as in jeopardy by a crab (in a basket, wakakaka).
Leaving aside a Sabah as good as Sarawak factors, as good as let's not repudiate they will be really BIG factors, a quarrel in GE-13 which will furnish large earth jolt formula in Peninsula will be for a hearts of a Heartland.
This is certainlythebelief of RPK as enunciated in his postWhy is Dr Mahathir such an idiot?, atitlewhich belies a domestic shrewdness of a former PM.
as if observant "up yours, you mongrels" wakakakaRPK wrote (extracts only):
The usually thing which can save Umno would be a Malay votes -- which establish rounded off two-thirds of a seats in West Malaysia.
And which is because what they have been doing/saying is not to win a hearts as good as mind of a Chinese as good as Indian voters. It is as good late to win a hearts as good as minds of a Chinese as good as Indian voters. They need to win a hearts as good as minds of a Malay voters. And to do which they need to do as good as say what they have been now you do as good as saying.
While this might dissapoint a Chinese as good as Indians, who have been not starting to vote for Umno anyway, it pacifies a Malays. And it is a Malays they instruct to pacify, not a Chinese as good as Indians, who have done it really clear they have been not starting to vote Barisan Nas! ional or ! Umno come ruin or high water.
And which might be because they had released a hounds of ruin to 'threaten' to seize as good as bake bibles, to assure a Heartland which UMNO is their defender of Islam.
Maybe you have been syiok-sendiri-ishlymistaken (kidding ourselves) about UMNO being a divided house, when in actuality they have been personification Sun Tze's 'inflict injury upon oneself to win a enemy's trust', where Najib by sanctim! onious t o be 'injured' from UMNO intra-party fighting, lulls his rivalry in to relaxing his ensure since he longer considers Najib to be an immediate threat.
Thus, maybe Najib plays being a plant of ultra rightwing forces within UMNO in a manmanlai hope to secure as many Chinese as good as Indian magnetism votes as possible, or remonstrate Chinese as good as Indians to 'help' bad Ah Jib Gor opposite UMNO rightwing forces, for as Gunasegaram mentioned, every vote will count, ...
c'mon MCA as good as Gerakan, own up, which a single of you orderly this, wakakaka... whilst his UMNO colleagues (or sifu, wakakaka) assures (and secures) theHeartlandthat all's good as good as 8 bells underneath a Hang Tuah-ish UMNO, yet Najib couldn't help though additionally sneak in a revisit to Gaza, usually to shore up his Islamic-Muslim pro-Arab credentials, wakakaka.
If so, afterwards it's a shining pincer attack whichwouldhave earnedtheadmirationofthe Carthaginiangeneral Hannibal (or during slightest his soul).
HannibalHannibal conducted such a pincer attack atthe Battle of Cannae in 216 BCE to defeat a Romans, which troops historians considered to be a initial successful executionofthe movement as good as a s! ingle of history's biggest terrain manoevres.
Battle of CannaeAnyway, a week ago Debra Chong of The Malaysian Insider serve illuminated a bargain of competition in governing body with her articleFor Pakatan, Election 2013 not a wander in a park. She sensitive us about a Merdeka Centre consult which polled thepreference of pure (first time) voters, providing findings as follows:
(a) Najib's popularity rating was available during 49% of polled sampl! e, consis! ting of:
- 64% Indians approval
- 60% Malay approval
Alas,thearticle was reduction clear upon a capitulation of Chinese pure electorate for Najib, stating instead which 60% of them were dissapoint with bad Najib.
But you don't hold this can be directly translated in to 40% Chinese pure electorate approving or fondness him, wakakaka. That'sthedanger of misinterpreting consult formula yet a headlines article, unless a tangible report is entirely examined. Thus you don't how many percent of Chinese initial time electorate authorize of Ah Jib Gor though you dare say not many, wakakaka.
The 40% or 4%? wakakaka(b) BN capitulation rating was usually 41%,supportingthe argument! which N ajib is distant some-more renouned than his team. Maybe his Sun Tze-ing has paid off, wakakaka.
(c) Now this aspect of a consult is distant some-more important. It's about what a initial time electorate consider as critical issues, whichobviouslywill change their votingpreferences.
The consult saidtheyoung Chinese were many endangered about corruption, whilst immature Malays were about competition as good as religion. Alas, this might dissapoint Uthayakumar though a TMI essay didn't say anything about Indian concerns.
IftheChinese sampling expressed they were many endangered about corruption, theory who afterwards will they be choosing by casting votes for? Wakakaka.
But a many illuminating explanation from a polls has been which of half of a first-time (Peninsula) Malay electorate polled. These pure electorate pronounced they would no longer swallow scaremongering about their secular in front of being encroached upon by alternative ethnic groups, BUT they would still instruct to see politicians debate Malay as good as equality rights than speak about vital costs or crime ...
... which is a same as observant they have been still really endangered about their rights as good as sacrament than costofliving or corruption, etc.
Does this meant they have been some-more expected to go upon swallowing a UMNO-Perkasa promotion of a Yellow Peril being during a gates as good as breaking them down, in spite oftheirclaim not to swallow cock & bull story from ablokelikeIbrahi! m Ali or numerousotherUMNO mouthpieces?
And gnam gnam, you see a stream exploitationofthisconcern as reported by TMI's articleFriday sermon: 'Enemies' of Islam staking claim over 'Allah' to confuse Muslimswhere JAKIM told Muslims which "... being as good open-minded as good as allowing Islamic rights tobeabused byotherreligionswas adangerousact."
Oh dear oh dear, oh dearie me,theUMN! O onslaug! ht of Goebbels-ism is relentless.
Okay, so Dr Mahathir has got it right, as good as you suspect PAS as good doesn't instruct to remove out upon a Heartland votes. Thus screw a concerns of a Chinese.
But you opine thereis a disproportion in between UMNO as good as PASvis--vis GE-13.
UMNOknowsit can no longer rely upon or design Chinese votes as good as has factored out any hopes for them. If Najib can manmanlai a few here as good as there, fine, those will be reward points though not executive to a choosing strategy.
But you assimilate PAS is contingent upon these Chinese votes in, you was told, around 60 sovereign constituencies, where Chinese have traditionally not upheld a Moon Party, though which they goal this time, withthehelp of PKR as good as generally DAP, to manmanlai them in to choos! ing by c asting votes a celebration through to Putrajaya.
If such is a case, afterwards it is PAS rsther than than UMNO which is held betweenthe (Cina) Devil andtheDeep BlueGreen Sea.
And you don't hold Uthayakumar will help them with his Hindraf force, wakakaka. Read More @ Source
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