Who benefits from the MAS, AirAsia share swap?


By Jahabar Sadiq
Editor
August 09, 2011
AUG 9 The jury is still out upon whether a due share barter in between Malaysian Airlines Bhd (MAS) as well as AirAsia Bhd will great a beleaguered dwindle conduit as a in-house unions threaten strikes as well as choosing by casting votes for a opposition if a Najib administration department goes by with a understanding today.

Both MAS as well as AirAsia shares have been dangling for trade until this evening pending an proclamation which could see a low-cost carriers categorical shareholder, Tune Air Sdn Bhd, get 20 per cent of a inhabitant airline. The unlisted Tune Air is mutually owned by Tan Sri Tony Fernandes, Datuk Kamarudin Meranun as well as Datuk Aziz Bakar.

The Malaysian Insider has reported which a share barter will in a destiny see MAS reclaim a in front of as a reward airline, leaving low-cost operations to be dominated by AirAsia, Asias biggest bill conduit which was only a two-plane operation when Tune Air paid for a airline for RM1 in 2001.

Some analysts as well as MAS staff have argued which a supervision needs to rescue a airline which has been draining red ink in a past couple of buliding rsther than than sell a interest to a rivalry as AirAsia has been well known since it became a exile success.

But can Putrajaya throw great income after bad into a virtual airline which has had a books spotless up in 2002 underneath a wide item unbundling (WAU) exercise. That restructuring was engineered by a BinaFikir consultancy, then led by Tan Sri Azman Mokhtar, a current handling executive of Khazanah Nasional Berhad, MASs ultimate categorical shareholder.

After all, a state-owned airline has already had dual rights issues since a WAU, raking in RM1.6 billion in 2007 as well as RM2.67 billion in 2010 to account a operations as well as fleet pur! chases. How much more income is required to stop a airline from draining red ink after a rsther than pea! ceful fl ight underneath former handling executive Datuk Seri Idris Jala?

The past monetary fixes havent helped MAS. Another round of income wont either, an attention source told The Malaysian Insider despite a touted RM8.4 billion aircraft renewal programme.

Most of a past solutions for MAS, possibly a WAU or Jalas commercial operation transformation plan, were monetary in nature to keep a airline in a black. But what is needed have been operational fixes, he added.

Saving MAS

Government officials informed with a understanding pronounced Khazanah as well as AirAsia have been talking about a tie-up upon 5 separate occasions though have never been able to come to terms. Among a issues have been pricing as well as greeting from MAS in-house unions as well as a Malay belligerent which could have domestic repercussions for a statute Barisan Nasional (BN) government.

It has never been easy as well as even this understanding is not easy. But a choice is clear, take this understanding as well as save MAS with a supervision keeping a infancy interest or let it drain as well as 20,000 people remove their jobs, pronounced a supervision source who spoke to The Malaysian Insider on condition of anonymity.

The source additionally dismissed talk of selling out Bumiputera equity, observant Khazanah will still keep a categorical interest by a wholly-owned section Penerbangan Malaysia Bhd (PMB) whilst Tune Air itself has a infancy Bumiputera shareholder by Kamarudin as well as Aziz.

Yes, Tony is a public face of AirAsia though a Kamarudin who additionally runs a operations, he said, adding this gives a chance for a state-run airline to work with entrepreneurial Bumiputeras rsther than than only a bankers as well as accounta! nts who have run MAS.

The supervision source remarkable which Fernandes was named Airline CEO of a Year for 2009 whilst AirAsia has won a Worlds Best Low-Cost Airline endowment for 2009 as well as 2010, proving world-class talents have been during MASs do! orstep.< /p>

He additionally forked out which picking Tune Air to assistance save MAS would great both airlines in a long run, notwithstanding talk which a reward marketplace is shrinking as well as a tie-up was effectively a cartel.

There is demand for a reward airline. Just look during a Gulf carriers such as Etihad as well as Emirates. They have been breaking into a reward marketplace which is controlled by Singapore Airlines, a source added.

It is understood which Emirates will soon begin flying a Airbus A380 upon a Dubai-Kuala Lumpur route, slicing further into a reward marketplace which MAS once dominated. Gulf airlines have been right away regulating their fifth-freedom rights to manipulate a Dubai-Kuala Lumpur track as well as beyond a same right which benefited MAS as well as Singapore Airlines in a past.

As to whether a share barter will lead to a cartel, an attention source pronounced both companies will keep their respective play as well as compete upon a little routes though still great from multiform synergies.

So, who benefits from a deal?

ECM Libra, in a research note, pronounced a partnership would concede AirAsia to continue what it does best with reduction predatory competition, whilst MAS can combine upon serving a reward segment with improved revenue yield.

It additionally pronounced which there have been opportunities for cost-savings as both airlines would be able to bargain improved for destiny aircraft purchases, as well as minimise duplication of resources such as which in a maintenance, correct as well as renovate (MRO) area.

AirAsia currently outsources a MRO to Singapore though a share barter understanding could pull a low-cost bill conduit to make us! e of MAS services instead.

An researcher agreed a partnership will concede MAS to cut a reserve for aircraft such as a A380 as AirAsia is a single of Airbus largest commercial operation with more than 200 orders as well as options.

MAS used to have clout with a airplane makers though a scant purchases over a years has discontinued that, a researcher said, indicating out which MAS will only begin removing a A380s next year, a little 4 yea! rs after a primary delivery scheduled for May 2008.

MAS can get more aircraft, faster as well as cheaper, if AirAsia is in a picture, he added.

Co-operation as well as competition

The researcher additionally pronounced marketplace segmentation will assistance both carriers great from a range of travelling types in a 21st century, observant MAS could potentially be a reward long-haul as well as short-haul airline to AirAsias bill service for both markets.

Some prefer to go commercial operation category as well as exclude to take AirAsia even for short-haul flights. Perhaps Firefly can fill which market. The possibilities have been limitless, he explained, observant this would still meant foe for passengers in a Malaysian market.

Opposition lawmakers have pronounced a impending share barter could lead to a monopoly or cartel though a researcher remarkable which Singapore Airlines has voiced it will set up a low-cost conduit whilst Australias Qantas already operates a bill service underneath Jetstar.

Theres always a little competition. Dont forget which AirAsia is Asias biggest low-cost user as well as which is what makes it an tasteful choice for travel, another researcher said, adding it will sojourn a clever force in a growing informal newcomer marketplace as it services all 10 Asean capitals.

Realising KLIAs potential

One categorical customer will be a KL International Air! port (KL IA) which can right away action as an inter-lining heart for both reward as well as low-cost carriers.

It gives travellers more options generally when KLIA2 starts operations. People can collect as well as select if they want to go reward or low price in a single heart as well as even buy a combination of tickets from a single source, an aviation researcher said, referring to a brand new low-cost terminal being built now.

He remarkable which KLIA had never over a promise as a heart as it lay in between Bangkok as well as Singapore, a traditional hubs for European as well as Asian airlines. Th! e tie-up can pull KLIA to be a major hub, a researcher said.

He forked out Singapore Airlines will probably work upon a same lines once it launches a bill carrier. It makes sense. Budget airlines will feed reward airlines as well as vice-versa generally if both work from a single hub, he added.

Malaysia wins?

In a end, he said, Malaysia will great from having dual airlines which can support to all segments of a newcomer as well as load market.

Both sides can win from this understanding as it can finalise MAS operational issues. Thats a a single thing which has dragged it down, a researcher said.

A supervision source agreed, saying: The bottom line is a bottom line contingency be black. There have been very couple of options left for MAS.

The WAU as well as a alternative monetary fixes didnt keep MAS up in a air long enough. Its up to Tony as well as Kamarudin to make it work this time, he added.


Courtesy of Bonology.com Politically Incorrect Buzz & Buzz

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