My friends told me we was crazy. "What have been we starting to do if your anticipation does not come true?" they asked me. "Well, we suppose we will quietly leave a country," we joked. "Never fear, though," we told them. "There is such a thing called a self-fulfilling prophecy. If sufficient people hold it, it will happen."
THE CORRIDORS OF POWER
Raja Petra Kamarudin
Who prevails in Umno?
(The Malaysian Insider) - Datuk Saifuddin Abdullah can talk about a improved Malaysia, as good as we do not disbelief his sincerity. He has been principled upon many issues, as good as speaks of a hold of authority, not a management of knowledge.
That is a crux of his debate this past week in Melbourne.
"It's not about numbers, it's about qualitative change. There have been many paths to a improved Malaysia," he told a mixed assembly of about 130 during a annualSeminar Pembangunan Insan(Seminar upon Human Development) during Melbourne Umno Club (KUAM) upon Thursday.
Saifuddin identified four facilities for a participatory democracy needed to reply to today's new amicable consciousness, generally between a immature integrity, governance, innovations in democracy, as good as progressive political thought.
Do a others in Umno or Barisan Nasional (BN) verbalise of a same things?
Does he verbalise for Umno or BN for which matter?
The thing is, Saifuddin is of a very tiny minority in Umno. In actuality he stands alone, as good as is not popular in a party which feels a dominance is an entitlement, a birthright.
And a names he mentioned in his talk in Melbourne Khairy Jamaluddin as good as Gan Ping Siew have been not in his category when speaking about ch! ange, be it in Putrajaya or within their parties.
The subject is this: who has more sway in Putrajaya: Saifuddin or a likes of Datuk Seri Nazri Aziz or Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein or even Datuk Ahmad Maslan?
And who prevails in Umno? At this indicate in time, it sure doesn't demeanour similar to a Saifuddin or those similar to him.
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That wasThe Malaysian InsiderEditorial today, as good as a very current regard as good as impending questions, may we add. Nevertheless, we all know a answer to those questions. Saifuddin Abdullah speaks for a minority, not a majority. And a infancy definitely binds a conflicting view to Saifuddin's. Should Saifuddin, therefore, even bother to verbalise up given his is a minority view as good as his minority view is not starting to shift anything?
But afterwards is this not regularly a case? The minority would normally never brave verbalise up. Take Saifuddin's box as an example. Those in Umno code him as a Trojan horse. They call him a mole. They lay which he is a Pakatan Rakyat supporter who is perplexing to sabotage Umno from a inside. They consider him a hypocrite who is watchful to leave Umno to stick upon a opposition. And given of which he would many expected not be chosen to competition a subsequent election.
The antithesis would additionally strike him. They will contend he is not sincere. If he is frank given is he still in Umno? He should leave Umno right away as good as stick upon a opposition.
Then, when he does leave Umno to stick upon a opposition, he would still get whacked.
Umno will contend he is a frustrated person (gulungan keciwa)who left Umno to stick upon a antithesis given he is not starting to be chosen to competition a subsequent election. The antithesis supporters will contend a same thing as good as will assume which he is an Umno birth mark who will substantially! jump be hind to Umno in a event of a hung Parliament.
The bottom line is, whatever we contend as good as do can never be right. They will still have something to contend about you. And being in a minority means we will get whacked by both sides. It is improved we remain in a majority, possibly pro-government or pro-opposition.
If we have been in a antithesis as good as we criticize a antithesis we will get whacked. If we have been in a supervision as good as we criticize a supervision we will get whacked. Hence we possibly take a side of a supervision or we take a side of a antithesis as good as afterwards siphon up to one side or a other. Then we turn a hero.
That, we suppose, is a Malaysian way. That is a Malaysian mindset. You follow a herd. Either we have been a cow or we have been a goat. And we usually moo or bleat when others do, in sync as good as in tempo with a others. You do not meow in a organisation which moos or bleats. They will strike we to dominion come.
And which proves Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad's theory which many people, Malaysians included, have been similar to herd. They buy as good as sell skill as good as shares similar to flock as well. When people buy they buy. When people sell they sell. Fundamentals fool around no partial in your investment as good as divestment decisions. You usually follow what others do.
And as a result would Malaysian politics be any different? If we consider which Barisan Nasional is starting to win we will opinion Barisan Nasional. If we consider which Pakatan Rakyat is starting to win we will opinion Pakatan Rakyat.
This happened in 1999. It happened in 2004. And it happened again in 2008.
Most people would similar to to hold which Pakatan Rakyat achieved a approach it did in 2008 given a people already had sufficient of Barisan Nasional as good as usually longed for a shift after half a century of a same government. we goal we do not hold this given if we do afterwa! rds we h ave been starting to be in for a rude shock.
No, which was not a reason given 2008 turned out a approach it did. People already felt a approach they did in 2008 given approach behind in 1998, ten years before that. The usually thing is which many people did not brave action upon what they felt given they suspicion they were in a minority. And people do not similar to being in a minority. They want to be in a majority.
In 1998, it was especially a Malays who swung. And they swung given they felt which a Malays who were starting to pitch were in a majority. And which proved loyal a following year in a 1999 ubiquitous election.
The non-Malays we spoke to behind in 1998-1999 additionally felt a same approach as a Malays felt. But they were not assured which a pitch was vast enough. They were worried which a pitch would be too tiny as good as as a result if they assimilated those who opinion opposite a supervision they might be in a minority. And a non-Malays told me which it is very dangerous to be in a minority. It is safer to be in a majority. Hence even if they hate Barisan Nasional they would still opinion for Barisan Nasional usually to be safe.
In 2004, it appeared similar to a hate cause had disappeared. The people were not unequivocally anti-Barisan Nasional as much as they were anti-Dr Mahathir. And a issue opposite Dr Mahathir was what he did to Anwar Ibrahim. Hence 1999 was a thoughtfulness of a Dr Mahathir hate factor.
But Dr Mahathir had already resigned as good as there was talk which Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi would release Anwar shortly after a 11th General Election of Mar 2004. Hence a Malays have been no longer indignant with Umno.
Against which backdrop, many expected a Malays would pitch behind to Umno. So, if a non-Malays voted antithesis while a Malays voted Barisan Nasional, a non-Malays will be in a minority. So, again, it would be safer to opinion Barisan Nasional, usually in case.
And wh! ich was exactly what happened in 2004. The Malays swung behind to Umno as good as PAS mislaid Terengganu as good as hold upon to Kelantan with a one-seat infancy in a State Assembly.
Phew, propitious a non-Malays did not opinion opposition. So they were right for not voting antithesis after all. If they did they would be in deep shit. But they still hated Umno as good as Barisan Nasional though. It is usually they did not opinion antithesis for reserve reasons.
Then, in 2007, opposite a backdrop of a Bersih as good as Hindaf rallies in November which same year, it appeared similar to those opposite to a supervision were in a majority, or during slightest a vast minority. And it appeared similar to those opposite to a supervision were not cramped to usually one competition though cut opposite a board to embody all a races. Even Tun Dr Mahathir was opposite to a government. He resigned from Umno as good as campaigned all over Malaysia to tell a Umno members to not opinion for Umno.
It looked similar to this time it was for real. Many Umno people even supported as good as assimilated a Bersih march in November 2007. DAP as good as PAS members as good as some leaders additionally met up with Umno people who supported a pierce which Umno contingency be taught a lesson in a ubiquitous election. There were usually so many anti-Umno Umno members as good as leaders.
This anti-Umno movement was no longer usually an antithesis thing. Umno people as good as leaders were opposite Umno as well. Tun Dr Mahathir himself was opposite Umno. Umno is finished. It is time everyone voted Pakatan Rakyat. We have been right away in a majority.
Then we went round a nation to verbalise atceramahsand announced which Barisan Nasional was starting to lose between 80-100 Parliament seats. They were additionally starting to lose 5 states as good as substantially order in dual states with a simple majority. Barisan Nasional is finished. Even Umno people as good as a! leaders await a opposition. We told a tens of thousands in a assembly this will definitely happen. We even declared a states which were starting to fall to a opposition.
My friends told me we was crazy. "What have been we starting to do if your anticipation does not come true?" they asked me. "Well, we suppose we will quietly leave a country," we joked. "Never fear, though," we told them. "There is such a thing called a self-fulfilling prophecy. If sufficient people hold it, it will happen."
It is usually similar to a stock marketplace or skill market. If sufficient people hold which in January subsequent year a marketplace is starting to fall it will collapse. And it will fall given people will panic as good as will sell. So it is a panicking as good as offered which essentially triggers a collapse. That is how self-fulfilling prophecies work.
The people from Sabah as good as Sarawak were utterly sore with us from West Malaysia. We should have left to East Malaysia as good as additionally tell a electorate there which Barisan Nasional was starting to get whacked, they lamented. The East Malaysian electorate did not consider it would happen. So they voted Barisan Nasional given they suspicion a pitch is not starting to be vast enough. If they had known which a pitch was essentially bigger than they suspicion afterwards they too would have voted opposition.
Hence a people from East Malaysia would have additionally followed a flock if they had known. The usually thing is they did not know which there was a herd. And which was given they stuck with Barisan Nasional.
The subject right away is: do a people hold which a pitch is still there? Do they hold which a pitch is even larger right away than in 2008? If they hold which a pitch is larger it is starting to get larger. But if they hold which a pitch has left behind to Barisan Nasional afterwards it will pitch behind to Barisan Nasional. People have flock genius as good as they will follow a her! d. They do not want to be in a minority
we will stop here for right away as good as maybe continue after with partial 2 of 'Like a trapped animal' as good as describe what is starting to make a people, in particular a Malays, opinion Umno.
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Courtesy of Bonology.com Politically Incorrect Buzz & Buzz
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