I was in Melaka yesterday night for an iftar( violation of Ramadhan fast) in Bukit Katil. This is fasting month. Usually Muslims have been more focused upon essence searching and intensification of religiosity. One would expect, political events have been placed upon a backburner. I was agreeably surprised.
After iftar as well as a obligatory prayers as well as tarawih prayers, PAS bukit Katil organized a ceramah. Why should PAS do a ceramah in a holy month? Because a month of ramadhan does not allot a cessation of political activities. And because a attacks from BN from a outrageous media industrial formidable do not cease. Pas as well as PR have no control over a media. They can't place a large advertisement in a mainstream media, incorporating a pompous declaration by a little using dogs which they have been telling a truth.
The truth, similar to Mulder says- is out there, not in a mainstream media. The truth is in a underbellies of society NOT in a environment with all a creature amenities as well as free flowing intoxicants.
The audience during a ceramah was fantastic. we assimilated a newest PAS part of Tamrin Tun Ghafar as well as PAS deputy president, a enthusiastic Abang Mat Sabu for a ceramah session. About 1000 people attended a ceramah, worthy for a place in Bukit Katil as well as a single hold during a fasting month.
Bukut katil is a parliamentary seat in Melaka which has 4 states seats. a single of these, Bukit Baru is a DUN seat of Ali Rustam, a arch Minister. The CM's poster is ubiquitous. They have been everywhere- upon a lamp posts, billboards, banners etc.
Bukit Katil is a parliamentary seat, which can be gotten by PR as well as Bukit Katil can infer to be a waterloo for Ali Rustam. Never mind his unrelenting efforts to remain a tall profile figure as well as all that. His own constituency has 60% Malays as w! ell as 4 0% non-Malays. If a trend follows similar to elsewhere in Malaysia, a PR candidate can hope to secure 80% of a non-Malay votes. If he/she can secure 30% of a Malay votes, Ali Rustam bites dust in Bukit Baru.
There have been around 13,000 participating electorate in Bukit Baru this time around. Out of which roughly 8000 have been approaching to be Malays as well as 5,000 non Malays. If a PR can get 4000 non Malay votes as well as 2500 Malay votes, Ali Rustam is a goner.
The number of in isolation housing projects in Bukit Baru has increased in a last 4 years as well as most of a homeowners as well as businesses have been taken up by non-Malays. In Bukit Baru, PAS contingency broach a Malay votes. Judging from a assemblage yesterday, PAS is upon stream to broach a consequential 30% Malay votes in Bukit Baru.
DUN
PR
BN
WINNER
MAJORITY
BACHANG
9237
8720
DAP
517
AYER KEROH
11309
8104
DAP
3205
BUKIT BARU
4936
7644
BN
2708
AYER MOLEK
3654
6433
BN
2779
PARLIAMENT
29217
30975
BN
1758
Election formula 2008.
The antithesis would expected retain their seats in Bachang as well as Ayer K! eroh. Th ese seats were wrestled from BN in 2008. That means a antithesis had to overcome a encumber of BN's incumbency. If a PR emerged victorious, a victories contingency have been driven by convictions for usually which element can overcome BN's incumbency.
Ali Rustam is a CM. in Bukit Baru he managed to secure a infancy of 2700 votes. If he has to quarrel as well as his competition in 2008 got a credible 5000 votes, afterwards electorate have been not quiet as well as overawed by his stature as CM as well as proved they have been not trusting when suffocated by Ali Rustam's achievements. Because people have been realizing which his achievements were earned upon a back of an increasing debt to a sovereign government as well as a shrinking money reserves.
Ayer Molek with a infancy of Malays is a usually safe seat for a BN in Bukit Katil Parliamentary seat. Maybe Ali Rustam is thinking of going there?
Bukit Katil looks set to go a PR.
Sejarah hitam demokrasi negara - YB Dato Ngeh Koo Ham
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