The weak link is getting weaker


What happens if PKR ends up with a most series of seats as good as all those PKR possibilities who won have been Azmin's boys as good as girls? Would Anwar still be nominated as a Prime Minister or could Azmin mountain a plea as good as do a coup upon Anwar? If Azmin's boys as good as girls brush in to victory Azmin would be a bad statesman if he does not feat a incident for his own benefit. Why suggest his armed forces to Anwar when he can have have use of of this armed forces to reject Anwar?
THE CORRIDORS OF POWER
Raja Petra Kamarudin
Wan Azizah might competition for a state chair in Penang
(The Star) - Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR) president Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail has hinted she might competition a state chair in her father Opposition Leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim's Permatang Pauh subdivision in a entrance ubiquitous election.
"If we am contesting during state level, we contingency be a (registered) voter there," she pronounced during a press conference during a PKR headquarters.
Dr Wan Azizah refused to divulge a subdivision she will contest.
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DAP: We'll allocate seats usually before polls
(NST) - DAP emissary authority Dr Tan Seng Giaw pronounced a 3 Pakatan Rakyat parties will usually confirm upon chair grant agreement "just before assignment day".
"We will have a meeting usually before assignment day as good as our parties will have to come to a consensus.
"It is tough to envision chair allocations now, though we do meet as good as plead during a local as good as state levels," he said, commenting upon a journal inform which DAP would get to comp! etition up to 90 parliamentary seats this time around.
Pas vice-president Datuk Mahfuz Omar told theNew Straits Timeswhen contacted: "If we wish to know a series of seats we have been contesting, wait for till a assignment day."
Parti Keadilan Rakyat vice-president Tian Chua insisted which a placement of seats would be close to or similar to a last election.
In a 2008 election, PKR contested 97 parliamentary seats, Pas 66 as good as DAP 46.
The DAP had since won 12 of a 15 state seats in a Sarawak elections, prompting suggestions which a seat-allocation agreement might be tweaked.
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There have been dual 'forces' which will establish a result of a subsequent ubiquitous election, as good as as a result who will get to form a subsequent sovereign government. One, of course, would be a Malay heartland as good as a alternative would be East Malaysia.
It is not enough which a single or a alternative becomes a kingmaker. It has to be both simultaneously. And unless a organisation which wants to form a subsequent sovereign supervision can win a votes from both a Malay heartland as good as from East Malaysia, afterwards a fight for Putrajaya would be lost.
In a event which a Malay heartland swings a single approach whilst East Malaysia swings a alternative way, afterwards we have been starting to see a hung council with a non-Malays emerging as a kingmaker instead. Hence, unless a organisation which wants to form a sovereign supervision can win a votes from a Malay heartland as good as from East Malaysia, a Chinese as good as Indians have been starting to turn a third group, a organisation which will confirm either Barisan Nasional or Pakatan Rakyat gets to order a country during sovereign level.
Barisan Nasional knows this. It knows which a incident is right away really smoothly offset with no clear personality nonetheless! in sigh t. And which is since they might run a full five-year term before job for a 13th General Election in Mar 2013.
Some contend which a longer they wait for a worse it will be for Barisan Nasional since most some-more issues will be lifted by a opposition, which can usually harm Barisan Nasional even more. But a world has a 100-day memory as good as after 100 days a issues will be forgotten. Since Pakatan Rakyat has lifted all a issues which it could get a hand upon as good as has milked a cow to a maximum, by Christmas all these issues would have becomebasi(stale) as good as by Mar subsequent year they would no longer be which most of an issue.
It creates clarity which Barisan Nasional drag a elections until Mar subsequent year which by afterwards all these issues would no longer be which deleterious to a ruling party. In a meantime, Pakatan Rakyat would self-destruct as good as a brand new concentration would no longer be upon a Scorpene submarines or NFC or whatever though upon a inner bickering within Pakatan Rakyat as good as in between a parties within Pakatan Rakyat.
Barisan Nasional is aware which not all augurs good for Pakatan Rakyat. Of concern would be a emanate of Islam and/or Islamic law. Statements such as PAS supporting Umno's proposal to exercise Hudud in Johor as good as a segregation of a sexes in cinemas in Selangor have been creation DAP really nervous. Expect Umno to have most some-more 'pro-Islamic' statements as we go along with a aim of interesting a response from PAS, as good as which in turn will rub DAP a wrong way.
PKR, DAP as good as PAS have been nonetheless to agree upon a chair allocations. In a past, a chair grant emanate has regularly been resolved upon a night before of Nomination Day as good as for some seats even upon a morning of Nomination Day itself. It appears similar to it is still starting to be a same for a entrance ubiquitous choosing as well, as a headlines inform upon tip of shows.
O! f course , they can regularly finalise it by dividing a 222 Parliament seats by 3 as good as afterwards each celebration gets to competition 74 seats. But it is not as easy as that. The chair grant emanate cannot be resolved through a elementary arithmetical calculation. They also need to take in to consideration which of a 3 parties has a improved possibility of winning which sold seat. Then there is also a emanate of which claimant has a improved possibility of winning.
For example, Taman Medan, which is a state chair in Selangor, is a PKR seat. But PAS feels which a claimant has a improved possibility of winning which chair than a PKR claimant does. So who is starting to competition Taman Medan, PAS or PKR? In a past, both PAS as good as PKR contested which chair in a three-corner fight as good as both antithesis possibilities lost to a BN claimant -- a PKR claimant even lost his deposition upon tip of that. So Taman Medan has regularly been a bruise indicate in between PKR as good as PAS.
If a ubiquitous elections were to be called today afterwards Pakatan Rakyat would be forced to finalise a chair grant issue. But by boring a choosing until Mar subsequent year, this usually allows time for Pakatan Rakyat to go upon disagreeing over a seats issue. The some-more time they have a some-more they will quarrel. Hence Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak is really not as foolish as most might consider he is. He knows which a delay in a ubiquitous choosing is starting to harm Pakatan Rakyat even some-more as a quarrel over seats continue.
Settling a emanate of chair grant as good as constituencies is usually a single emanate to resolve. But which does not settle a alternative bigger issue, as good as which is a list of possibilities who have been starting to competition these seats.
Hence we have 3 issues to resolve. One would be how to share out a almost 800 State as good as Parliament seats. Do we usually take a sum figure as good as divide it by three? And do we d! ivide it similarly or does a single celebration get some-more seats than a other?
Next, after solution a emanate of a numbers, they right away need to finalise a emanate of location or constituency. Where have been these seats starting to be? For example, is PKR or PAS starting to competition Taman Medan? Is DAP or PKR starting to competition a Port Kelang state seat? And so on. The numbers is a single issue. The tangible seats have been another.
Finally, as good as a some-more crucial of a 3 issues, who have been these possibilities starting to be?
In Barisan Nasional, a initial dual issues have been not which difficult to resolve. Basically, Umno decides as good as a alternative members of Barisan Nasional can do really small to conflict this. For example, Umno can confirm to give PPP 3 council seats as good as 7 state seats as good as these seats can come from a MIC 'quota'. At most appropriate MIC can roar though they can do small to stop it from happening.
In Pakatan Rakyat, PKR cannot play a role of Umno as good as confirm who gets to competition where as good as a series of seats each celebration gets. Hence it is some-more difficult in Pakatan Rakyat compared to in Barisan Nasional.
However, either it is Umno, PKR, DAP or PAS, a emanate of possibilities overrides a emanate of chair allocation. Seat grant is an inter-party matter. Candidates have been an inner celebration matter. And a chairman who wants to control a celebration contingency also control a candidates.
If Najib feels threatened by his emissary afterwards he contingency have sure which most, if not all, a possibilities have been his men. He will have to block his deputy's candidates. If all those who competition have been Najib's men afterwards Najib might be some-more secure. But if most of them have been Muhyiddin Yassin's men, afterwards Najib might face a danger of a coup similar to what happened to Abdullah Ahmad Badawi shortly after a 12th ubiquitous el! ection.< /div>
In short, those selected to competition a entrance ubiquitous choosing contingency be 'the President's men/women' -- or during slightest a men/women of a chairman who aspires to turn a brand new celebration leader. If not afterwards a celebration personality exposes himself/herself to good risk. Some contend which a celebration elections have been even some-more important than a ubiquitous elections as good as which a ubiquitous elections have been merely a substructure to prepare for a celebration elections.
This is positively true in Umno. And right away it is true for PKR as well.
According to those in PAS, Azmin is backing up his boys as good as girls as possibilities for a subsequent ubiquitous election. The complaint is, whilst these possibilities might be Azmin loyalists who, when asked to jump, will ask, "How high?" they have been not a most appropriate preference of possibilities as good as lack what is needed to do a job. Post-2008 ubiquitous choosing was a disaster for Pakatan Rakyat when some jumped ship as good as sold out to a alternative side whilst others demonstrated a sore brain. Now it appears we have been starting to see a same thing occur all over again.
The electorate this time around have been starting to be choosier than a last time. The last time they voted for a celebration come what may. This time they have been starting to see who a possibilities have been before giving them their votes.
According to PAS as good as DAP, if Pakatan Rakyat wins a subsequent ubiquitous choosing afterwards Anwar Ibrahim is starting to turn a Prime Minister, even if PKR wins a slightest series of seats. This is ostensible to be an automatic thing. The question is: is it starting to be Anwar since he happens to be thede factoleader of PKR or is it personal to holder? In alternative words, if Anwar is no longer thede factoleader of PKR would a suggest end there or would it be inherited by his successor?
Thos e in PAS as good as DAP contend which a suggest is usually to Anwar as good as not to any inheritor to Anwar, generally if this inheritor happens to be Azmin Ali. But Azmin is starting to try to prove them wrong. The stream sentiment is: we await Anwar not since he is a most appropriate though since we have no alternative preference -- there is no clear as good as befitting inheritor to Anwar.
But what if there is a successor? Would Anwar afterwards turn condonable in favour of a successor? If Anwar no longer exists afterwards Pakatan Rakyat would have really small choice, usually similar to how they have really small preference right away as good as have to nominate Anwar as their preference of Prime Minister either they similar to him or not. Hence Azmin is not worried either PAS as good as DAP similar to him or not. In a incident where there is no alternative they will behind him for Prime Minister even if they don't similar to him. Isn't this also a case in Umno as good as Barisan Nasional?
What happens if PKR ends up with a most series of seats as good as all those PKR possibilities who won have been Azmin's boys as good as girls? Would Anwar still be nominated as a Prime Minister or could Azmin mountain a plea as good as do a coup upon Anwar? If Azmin's boys as good as girls brush in to victory Azmin would be a bad statesman if he does not feat a incident for his own benefit. Why suggest his armed forces to Anwar when he can have have use of of this armed forces to reject Anwar?
Many in PAS as good as DAP have been sitting behind to watch a whole thing reveal with good interest. This is an inner PKR celebration matter no doubt. And they have concluded which Anwar will turn Prime Minister mainly since he is a celebration leader. But what if Anwar is ousted as good as Azmin takes over? Where does which leave DAP as good as PAS? Was a suggest of a post of PM personal to Anwar or to Anwar as a PKR celebration leader? And can Anwar's inheritor get a post of Prim! e Minist er?
Azmin is a master of distraction. The Gerakan Anti-Faekah (GAF) transformation was aimed during ousting Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail's hopeful in a Selangor Menteri Besar's office. Khalid, no doubt, came to Faekah's defense since he knows which if they manage to reject her afterwards her deputy would most expected be an Azmin mole. Hence it is to Khalid's interest to keep a fondness with Wan Azizah alive, most to a discomfit of Azmin's boys who have grumbled to Anwar about it.
Wan Azizah countered this by announcing which she is probably starting to competition a state seat, as good as this has pissed Azmin off large time. He is commencement to see Wan Azizah as good as Nurul Izzah as hindrances to his devise to take control of a party. And with them allied to Khalid Ibrahim which creates it even worse.
Azmin wants to have comprehensive control over a PKR possibilities list. He has, in fact, already decided upon a list whilst a due possibilities have already been told which they would be contesting a election. The possibilities he has chosen have been Azmin Ali loyalists who would not hesitate to get absolved of Anwar, Wan Azizah as good as Nurul once Azmin is ready to have his move to take over a party. But Wan Azizah is not about to usually step aside as good as play passed though a fight. And over a subsequent few months we have been starting to see Wan Azizah as good as Nurul Izzah turn some-more vocal whilst PAS as good as DAP cross their fingers as good as goal which a self-destruction of PKR will not also meant a destruction of Pakatan Rakyat.
Clearly, PKR is a weak couple in Pakatan Rakyat which is getting even weaker. And a possibilities which have been starting to be fielded underneath a PKR banner have been not a most appropriate brains for a job though sycophants which will do Azmin's bidding. Chances have been a electorate might reject most of these possibilities giving DAP or PAS a lion's share of a seats. PKR hopes to emerge a Umno of! Pakatan Rakyat. What might occur instead is which PKR might emerge a MIC of Pakatan Rakyat. And did not Anwar contend he would retire if they destroy to have it? Well, which is even some-more reason for Azmin to safeguard which they do not have it.
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