As we promised, here is how a cookie might crumble. These figures were handed to me by moles burrowed low in Bukit Aman, at MINDEF, from UMNO politicians as well as a boys as well as girls from Putrajaya whose tongues were made light as well as easy after nights out in town. we am astounded to listen to of a endless rejecting of people in a Forces towards UMNO as well as BN. Pleasantly astounded which is.
My own feeling is there will be reversal of positions. In this entrance elections, PR will get what BN got in 2008- 140 seats or thereabouts as well as a change going to BN. when which happens, some-more will desert a BN boat especially from a UMNO camp.As for now, what these shadows tell me have been as follows:-
Table 1: The probable outcome in GE13.
no
STATE
PR
BN
1
PERLIS
1
2
2
KEDAH
13
2
3
KELANTAN
13
1
4
TERENGGANU
4
4
5
PENANG
12
1
6
PERAK
18
! 6
7
PAHANG
5
9
8
SELANGOR
20
2
9
WILAYAH PERSEKUTUAN
10
1
10
PUTRAJAYA
0
1
11
NEGRI SEMBILAN
6
2
12
MELAKA
2
4
13
JOHOR
12
14
14
LABUAN
1
0
15
SABAH
12
13
16
SARAWAK
16
15
145
77
The table upon top of is even some-more bullish than a analyses which we have made upon multiform occasions. Having carefully suspicion about the data given to me, here is my take.
In Perlis, a chair which is many expected to tumble is Arau. In 2008, PR performed roughly 49% of a votes casted. A pitch of 5% of a votes this time to PR, will outcome in BN losing a seat.
In Kedah, a 2 seats which crop up protected for BN have been Langkawi as well as KUbang Pasu. BN's many gentle chair is Langkawi. In Langkawi nonetheless a antithesis increasing a share of a votes, BN starts with a strong existing opinion bank. Similarly, in KUbang Pasu, in 2008, a antithesis performed 40% of a votes as well as increasing a share of a votes by 9%. So perhaps, it's time for Najib to pierce MUkhriz Mahathir to Langkawi so which he can go upon to be an MP upon a antithesis dais in a subsequent parliament.
In Kelantan, upon top of Tengku Razaleigh , we would have suspicion a tasteless as well as colourless Mustafa Mohamad would be means to keep his seat. It appears a tide is branch against him principally because of his stand upon a oil royalty emanate of Kelantan. Here is a son of Kelantan who's opposed to giving Kelantan people their oil royalty unless a managed by UMNO. UMNO people have been thieves who will not remove a second in getting their hands in a till. The people handing me a numbers demand which Mustafa Mohamad will get a boot this time.
What about those PR MPs who have been seen to be under-performing? These will be replaced by determined as well as dedicated candidates who will go upon to benefit from a altogether await for PAS's spiritual leader.
I have already overwhelmed upon Terengganu in my earlier article. we predicted which PR will get 5 seats. According to a comprehension sources, PR would probably get 4 seats. Which is what PAS's secgen, Dato Mustafa Ali maintained. Earlier we thought, BN might remove Besut if it retains Abdullah Mat Zain , a incumbent. The male is frequency there. Will Mat Said be peaceful to select his physical c! ondition rivalry Idris Jusoh to contest in Besut? Otherwise according to these sources, BN will expected keep Besut, Setiu, Kemaman as well as Hulu Terengganu. That makes it 4-4.
In Penang, a usually chair protected for BN is Tasek Gelugor. If Pak Lah stands again in Kepala Batas, he will lose. His replacement, either a Reezal Merican or even son in law Khairy, will additionally be defeated. What else is left for Pak Lah to prove?
In Perak a relative safer seats for BN have been to be found in (1) Gerik (2) Lenggong (3) Parit (4) Tapah (5) Bagan Datoh as well as (6) Tanjung Malim. Out of these 6, a weakest links have been found in Bagan Datoh as well as Parit. So, people out there if you want to kick out Zahid Hamidi from Bagan Datoh, come out in full force to opinion in PR13.
Please wait for a subsequent monthly payment of a forecast.In a meantime, see how a BN leaders have been squirming. Some of them demand which BN will get a 2/3 majority. Meanwhile, Najib goes to Mahathir as well as says- please save me. He tweets to all as well as sundry, save Kedah. Why a plaintiff cries when you have been assured of winning 2/3 majority?
To a rest of us, it should as well as must be- save a rakyat from a clutches of a immorality BN government.
UMNO/BN Tidak Bersungguh-sungguh Tangani Korupsi
KUALA LUMPUR, 16/02/2012 - Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak menegaskan, soal Menteri Pembangunan Wanita, Keluarga dan Masyarakat, Datuk Seri Shahrizat Abdul Jalil akan meletakkan jawatan tidak dibincangkan dan kedudukan beliau sebagai anggota Kabinet adalah "hak mutlak" beliau selaku Perdana Menteri. "Tidak, belum dibincangkan lagi. Ia adalah hak m! utlak Pe rdana Menteri," kata beliau selepas mempengerusikan mesyuarat Dewan Tertinggi Barisan Nasional (BN) di sini malam tadi. Najib yang juga Pengerusi BN dan Presiden Umno diminta mengulas spekulasi bahawa Shahrizat enggan meletakkan jawatan dalam kerajaan dan parti politik ketika banyak pihak mengaitkan beliau dengan isu projek Pusat Fidlot Kebangsaan (NFC). Laporan Bernama semalam menyebut, bekas Perdana Menteri, Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad menasihatkan Shahrizat agar "jangan sayang kepada jawatan." Katanya, Shahrizat, yang juga Ketua Wanita Umno, harus mengambil tindakan sewajarnya demi kepentingan parti. "Saya tak suruh dia meletak jawatan tetapi kita harus sentiasa fikir berkenaan masalah yang kita timbul kepada parti. Sebab itu, saya sendiri joke bila dah terlalu lama dan orang dah naik bosan, saya joke letak jawatan. "Jadi, janganlah sayang jawatan sangat sampai tidak mahu langsung dipisahkan daripada jawatan. Satu hari kita kena pisah juga," katanya. - sinarharian.com.my Video Rating: 1 / 5More Barisan Nasional (BN) | Pakatan Rakyat (PR) | Sociopolitics Plus |
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