January 14, 2013
The UMNO Game of Checkmating Najib
Carpetman Deepak Jaikishan as well as ex-IGP Musa Hassan's 'daring revelation' is all part of the devise to defeat Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak.
Let's understand the single important fact about UMNO currently the celebration cannot be widely separated down the middle again, as what happened in the 1988 celebration crisis. The argument afterwards in between two ready to fight factions had led to UMNO being spoken unlawful by the court, giving birth to UMNO Baru.
The anti-Najib faction obviously understands this. This time around the anti-Najib forces devise to cut off UMNO President as well as Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak, with the celebration remaining intact.
Their initial step is to besiege Najib, whereby the UMNO warlords as well as leaders have been right away enmity themselves from the budding apportion during his campaign trails.
The next step is to deploy the fake flag strategy.The anti-Najib group is using outsiders such as the likes of Deepak Jaikishan as well as ex-inspector ubiquitous of police Musa Hassan to display the budding apportion as well as his wife Rosmah Mansor's wrongdoings.The group is additionally bent upon showing up Police energy abuses underneath Najib's cousin Home Minister Hishammuddin Hussein in the try to undermine Najib.
The duo Deepak as well as Musa will "link" themselves to PKR to emanate the make-believe story which Anwar Ibrahim as well as PKR have been at the back of them.
This fake flag strategy has the two-pronged agenda. Fir! st, it i s to show which the two have been underneath the directive of the PKR as well as if this tract fails, the censure is upon Anwar as well as PKR. But if it works, the beneficiary will be Deputy Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin's team.
Daring revelation
The anti-Najib forces have been using Musa as well as the carpet play to defeat Najib. The daring
explanation is the transparent indication which his own celebration opponents wish him to fail, or even step down prior to the ubiquitous election.
If he chooses to do otherwise, they will come out in the open to plea him which could meant possibly the breakup of UMNO or choosing sabotage opposite him as well as his closest aide Hishammuddin in the coming polls.This will further bluster UMNO's chances of victory.
Both Deepak as well as Musa have been the fall guys as well as have been since assurance of their safety by their backers who right away have the upper palm in the inner UMNO energy game.
The Muhyiddin group will pull for the final nail in the coffin by presenting the own list of possibilities which Najib has to accept or face sabotage in the election.Sabotage equates to Muhyiddin's group will campaign for antithesis possibilities who mount opposite Najib as well as Hishammuddin in the constituencies they contest.
Hence Najib is constrained to resign gracefully to save UMNO or he as well as the celebration have been both goners. Under such resources most UMNO members will show no magnetism for Najib.
UMNO, as such, is unfortunate to have the concede as well as bargain with PAS in the run-up to the ubiquitous election.
Muhyiddin's UMNO knows it cannot equate upon the other Barisan Nasional member parties which have been ! addition ally in the same boat, with their own inner strife, as well as open restlessness opposite them using high.
Hence it has to work out an gentle regulation with an antithesis celebration in Pakatan Rakyat which shares the little harmony with UMNO's struggle.
Muhyiddin's UMNO prefers PAS
Since the origination of PKR in 2003, UMNO as well as PKR have turn bitter as well as incriminating rivals. Both have been battling for domestic supremacy.DAP, being the non-Malay party, is throwing the full weight at the back of PKR further intensifying the domestic feud.
Hence UMNO's greatest fright is the probability which PKR will lead the supervision in the eventuality of an Opposition victory.
This unfolding could meant retribution as well as full exposure of the misdeeds of the UMNO elite.On the other hand, PAS, the Malay-Muslim based party, although an Opposition bloc partner, shares the little common domestic as well as Islamic ideologies with UMNO.
Muhyiddin's UMNO afterwards would prefer to see PAS lead the supervision if Pakatan wins the election.Thus in the run-up to the 13th ubiquitous election, the Muhyiddin group might work out the compromising deal with PAS without jeopardising PAS in front of in Pakatan.
Muhyiddin's UMNO might help PAS win in constituencies contested by Najib as well as his closest henchmen by sabotaging these candidates.
In the eventuality Pakatan wins the polls, UMNO might vigour Pakatan partners to accept PAS to lead the government. PAS might reciprocate the favours by refraining from defying as well as severe UMNO-BN in the eventuality the latter wins the election.
And PAS might lend support to endorse Muhyiddin as the Prime Mi! nister.W ith such an understanding, in the neck-to-neck election, the probability of Anwar-PKR to lead the Pakatan supervision if the bloc wins is remote.
PAS must be wary
As such, it would be difficult for PKR as well as DAP, with PAS being non-partisan, to challenge and
reject an UMNO-BN feat in the election.
But if Dr Mahathir Mohamad teams up with Muhyiddin, the modus operandi for UMNO to hold upon to energy might shift to the more radical one. The Muhyiddin-Mahathir partnership is akin to the Najib-Rosmah partnership.
Under such circumstances, the concede in between PAS as well as UMNO would good UMNO, while PAS as well as Pakatan would be upon the losing end.Hence PAS has to be really clever with any overtures extended by the Muhyiddin-Mahathir Umno circle.
I hold PAS should stay put with Pakatan whatever the circumstances. Any inner differences can be ironed out amicably.
Between PAS as well as PKR, the former is right away removing more support from the Malays by the day.DAP should accept this reality. The Malays prefer to see the country be led by Muslim intellectuals.
I hold there have been most moderate religious intellectuals in PAS who can lead the supervision if Pakatan wins. As for Anwar, he is no longer in the equation. He is not even the President of his own celebration PKR. He was appointed as an adviser. The best purpose for him is to be the spokesman as well as coordinator of the coalition.
Awang Abdillah is the domestic analyst, writer as well as FMT columnist.
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