Despite a money, machine as well as media, a celebration is still seen as having a poor possibility of making a comeback in a 13th GE.
The ubiquitous idea in between observers of Malaysian politics is which a MCA will go in to a next polls with a most 0 possibility of scoring a respectable win in a parliamentary contests within a Klang Valley. Even seasoned pundits have been observant which a die is cast as well as Barisan Nasional's second largest celebration will humour an additional electoral blow. One observer expressed his view in a difference of an aged Chinese saying: "Mu yi cheng zhou." (The timber is already made in to a boat; what is finished cannot be undone.)
Party boss Dr Chua Soi Lek is not a kind of male who would goal for a divine breeze to turn MCA's lessen in to a rising tide. He would rsther than put his conviction in a energy of a 3 Ms: money, machine as well as media. His celebration certainly has plenty of those.
But what good have been a 3 Ms to MCA if it does not have electoral support? That is similar to being wealthy though dead.
Chua has been listened to boast which he could have a unfit possiblein a tacit reference, perhaps, to his victory in a final MCA presidential choosing notwithstanding a taint of a sex scandal.
Can Chua win all a time? His clandestine campaign activities opposite Ong Ka Ting as well as Ong Tee Keat for a presidential choosing carried a thesis "Save MCA". It is ironical which a same clarion call has come back to haunt him as a ubiquitous choosing approaches.
Is it kismet in a making? Can he save MCA during a entrance polls?
Fo! r a star t, can he harmonise an effective team to assistance BN recapture Selangor or during slightest score a respected series of parliamentary seats in a Klang Valley?
In 2008, a celebration won only a Pandan parliamentary chair out of a 7 it contested in Selangor. It mislaid all five parliamentary seats in a Kuala Lumpur Federal Territory. The swing opposite MCA was 26% in Selangor as well as 17.3 % in Kuala Lumpur. Many of a own members voted opposite it.
This may insist a brand new shameless pierce to buy votes a la Najib Tun Razak. MCA members elderly 60 as well as upon top of have been since a token total of RM100 as well as other members have been entitled to giveaway accident word for a single year.
With 45.3% of celebration members elderly 46 years as well as upon top of as well as an additional 28.3% in between a ages of 36 as well as 45, a bulk of a membership is middle-aged. Those below 21 years aged barely have up 1%. With such demographics, a single could say which a celebration is out of sync with a flourishing immature urban population.
Despite Chua's own confidence which MCA can perform better this time than in 2008, a view upon a belligerent is bleak.
Beating a dead horse
The 2008 tsunami was a true shocker if a single were to consider how well a celebration performed in 2004. It completed completed an 82.3% winning rate by capturing a total of 31 parliamentary as well as 76 state seats out of 40 as well as 90 respectively.
Many have been observant a electoral landscape has irrevocably tilted opposite MCA since 2008 as well as Chua is perplexing to revive a equine which he thinks is sick though is essentially dead. The Chinese proverb "si matriarch dang huo matriarch yi" aptly illustrates this futile act.
But Chua's prime Chinese observant seems to be "you qian neng shi gui tui mo"with money, anybody can have a devil pull a grindstone. Hence a billions of! ringgit in handouts. This is substantially what is meant by bread-and-butter issues.
Another cause which MCA is betting a choosing by casting votes fitness upon is a "candidate selection factor".
In Kuala Lumpur, Chua may pull off a surprise by fielding a immature candidate, Tan Kok Eng, a son of Tan Chai Ho, who has served as deputy minister in countless portfolios as well as is now a party's treasurer-general.
The preference of chair for a immature Tan is similarly surprising. It is Kepong, a parliamentary chair now allocated to Gerakan, though which which celebration mislaid to DAP's Tan Seng Giaw in 2008 after winning it in 7 uninterrupted elections.
Kepong is a single of a largest Chinese-majority areas in a country ethnic voters. According to a top celebration insider, MCA hopes which winning it would be a mental progress which competence assistance detain a unpopularity slide.
A tighten aide of Chua's, Theng Book, will be fielded for a Bandar Tun Razak parliamentary seat, now hold by Selangor Menteri Besar Khalid Ibrahim.
Chua may retain some aged parliamentary possibilities in Selangor. According to insiders, Loh Seng Kok is sloping to competition in Kelana Jaya as well as Yap Pian Hon in Serdang.
"The claimant list is in a state of flux," Chua has said.
Will Ong Tee Keat be selected to competition again in Pandan, a only parliamentary chair in Selangor which MCA won in 2008? Will Donald Lim Siang Chai, MCA Selangor arch as well as Deputy Finance Minister, be retained to competition in a parliamentary seat? Sources say it is either him or Jessie Ooi for Selayang.
Teh Kim Poh was originally in a rough list for Klang. But similar to a MCA boss himself has said, he could have been "allegedly dropped".
The list of possibilities is pronounced to embody several brand new faces from Wanita MCA: Chew Hong Leng for PJ Utara, Teh Hwi Leng for Klang, Wong Fong Leng for PJ Sela! tan and, as referred to above, Jessie Ooi for Selayang. It is rumoured which Nicole Wong will be fielded in Seputeh, now hold by DAP's Teresa Kok.
Are these winnable possibilities for MCA? Surely, their names contingency have been "tested" for feedback in a quiet consult by MCA as well as by intelligence reports ordered by aloft ups in a BN heirarchy.
"Rensuan bur u tiansuan," as a observant goes. Man proposes as well as Heaven disposes. Not quite, perhaps.
The signs of a times have been which a electorate will be making a decision. They competence select to take severely Chua's pledge to take MCA out of a supervision if it performs badly.
Stanley Koh is a former conduct of MCA's think-tank. He is now a FMT columnist.
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Courtesy of Bonology.com Politically Incorrect Buzz & Buzz
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