December 16, 2011
GE-13: Quando, Quando, Quando? Mid-2012?
by Maria Begum@www.malaysia-chronicle.com (12-08-11)
It looks like a 13th General election will not be held early next year after all many approaching towards a middle of 2012 instead.
UMNO watchers contend after a recent annual assembly, it has turn clear a celebration as well as a BN bloc it leads will be headed for high waste if Prime Minister Najib Razak tried to stage GE-13 in January or February, as he had been approaching to.
Uninspiring care as well as a lack of vision
Top upon a list of impediments was Najib's failure to inspire his celebration as well as a republic during a assembly. Instead of charting a march for a Malays as well as Malaysians, he could usually whip out tired old messages which usually UMNO could protect a Malays, whilst bashing a opposition Pakatan Rakyat coalition.
The RM250mil NFC monetary disturbance involving Wanita UMNO's Chief Shahrizat Abdul Jalil as well as her family was additionally an additional destabilizing factor. The Shahrizats have been indicted of misusing as many as RM181million of a supervision soft loan of RM250mil to give themselves huge salaries, buy condos as well as cars, compensate for legal holiday trips, as well as take residential land as well as so forth.
Najib as well as his Deputy have fiercely defended her, rather than find accountability during arm's length. This was presumably a worst thing they could have finished as it gave UMNO representatives during a General Assembly as well as Malaysians opposite a country a sense which a party's statute elite condoned graft, as well as would do all to cover up for each other.
"We have been right away seeking d! uring Ma y or June. The hints have been already there, Khairy (Jamaluddin a UMNO Youth Chief) has pronounced he can usually give a list of possibilities for his wing in an additional 2 months' time as well as Ali Rustam (the Malacca Chief Minister) has additionally been discerning to confess which a state's list of possibilities is not ready," an UMNO veteran told Malaysia Chronicle.
"Of course, those who smiled as well as rushed to contend they have been usually as well happy to let Najib decide will be a ones to watch. These have been a common two-headed snakes as well as we can be sure they will stir up a biggest problems as well as infighting."
It was clear he was referring to leaders including ex-Terengganu Menteri Besar Idris Jusoh, who has a prolonged running argument with his successor Ahmad Said. Rivalry among celebration chieftains additionally exist in Negri Sembilan, Perlis, Selangor as well as Johor.
The Mother of all Infighting set to erupt
But perhaps, a greatest 'show' put upon was when Deputy Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin declared he was "the many loyal deputy", in a bid to lard speak which he was gunning for Najib's position in celebration polls slated for a second half of 2012.
It is significant which whilst a UMNO Deputy President affianced loyalty, he did not promise not to plea Najib for a presidency.
"That's right, a biggest adversary will be between a two of them as well as neither can means to let go or to give way, since after GE-13 will be a UMNO celebration polls. Whether UMNO wins or loses a sovereign government, there will still be a fight to be a UMNO President. Mind you, there have been a lot of assets in UMNO as well as it can always make a comeback in GE-14. Whoever has some-more MPs upon his side will have a stronger possibility of winning a Presidency, which will still be a many desired post," a UMNO veteran said.
"If Najib loses a sovereign government, of course, he can kiss a presidency goodbye though there have been others like Abdullah Badawi as well as Mahathir Mohamad. They have been all waiting during a wings as well as will additionally wish to have their group in place, so which they as well have improved bargaining power as well as get a gash during a tip chair later on."
How many seats each for Pakatan as well as BN
However, there have been a little who believe which GE-13 was some-more approaching to be in Mar or during latest April as UMNO had to reason its polls by Oct as well as indispensable 6 months for a complete process, which additionally involves a lengthy nominations process during a divisions throughout a peninsula as well as Sabah.
Counteracting these factors is Selangor Pakatan Rakyat's announcement which they would not reason coexisting elections unless GE-13 was held after June 2012. Pundits additionally indicate out which Najib was right away trying to delay GE-13 as many as he can since he needs time to try as well as win a hearts as well as minds of a people.
However, instead of changeable to a centre, Najib is approaching to pierce serve to a right as well as a Pakatan Rakyat led by Opposition Leader Anwar Ibrahim can design a very rocky six months ahead.
Non-Malay Malaysians, generally a Chinese, as well as those of Christian faith have been additionally approaching to be mercilessly pounded as UMNO as well as Najib pushed forward with their brash plan to 'corner' a Malay electorate.
"They have already since up upon a non-Malay vote. This is why a little of a representatives during a assembly called for BN to field usually UMNO possibilities dur! ing GE-1 3. Why give MCA or Gerakan or MIC any possibility when they will certainly lose.
In Sarawak, they have been promissory note upon Taib Mahmud's PBS as well as have written off a alternative parties which have been approaching to remove to DAP as well as PKR. In Sabah, they mount to remove many seats as well as fundamentally can depend usually upon Sabah UMNO as well as even which is shaky since Musa Aman (the Chief Minister) is so unpopular," a pundit said.
Latest odds racked up by election watchers right away put Pakatan forward of UMNO, winning between 120 to 122 seats altogether as well as UMNO 102 to 100 seats. Gerakan as well as MIC have been approaching to be wiped out, whilst MCA may retain during many 3 of their 15 seats.
Malaysia Chronicle
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