The alternative day, you watched a late night headlines on TV3. It ran an interview it had with DPM, Muhyidin Yassin. The DPM says it's an ascending conflict for UMNO as well as BN. you contend man- UMNO leaders have been contradicting each other. Two clamp presidents contend UMNO is ok. The emissary trainer says, not so ok. One of them contingency be lying. Or- if they have been observant something that's conflicting to what Muhyidin says, they mean UMNO is going downhill.
I have written an earlier essay giving out what you suspicion some warnings to UMNO as well as BN. This time you didn't write on how you think UMNO as well as BN can lose- you wrote instead a alternative approach round- how Pakatan can win.
As expected, it didn't go down well with UMNO people. That's of no importance to me. UMNO thinks it can dilemma a farming votes. Maybe they can as well as do, though every time Anwar Ibrahim who is bombarded with passionate allegations during every waking hour wants to hold a ceramah umum in farming areas, UMNO goes on super panic mode. It uses all a odious instruments of a state- a police, army, Rela people to forestall Anwar speaking.
Apa pasal? you say, let a shop-worn good do his thing. People have been intelligent enough- they review newspapers as well as alternative media instruments to be equates to to have correct judgment. And you have all a UMNO cybertroopers around to have certain Anwar is crucified with brand brand new information about his passionate trysts as well as China doll as well as what not. And you have Quiet Despair to anchor a some-more cerebral as well as spirited delivery of Anwar's persecution. Don't worry; you will give him as much space as possible here.
I think Muhyidin this time around speaks with a touch of realism. Maybe he refuses to be bamboozled with over! confide nt JASA reports you saw some of them especially on Pahang as well as you was laughing. Were they written whilst celebration kopi tiam or eating keropok lekor? Or were they written whilst sitting on a bed during home? Those suckers during HQ won't be equates to to tell a difference.
Muhyidin contingency be meditative about his home state too. Ong Kah Ting is not going to contest. His chair might go. Hishamudin is retreating to Kota Tinggi. That equates to Syed hamid Albar isn't contesting anymore as he is no longer winnable. Sembrong is gone. Bakri chair is an additional area that's losable. Subramaniam can contend bye bye to Segamat. Pasir Gudang is an additional parliamentary chair which looks shaky. Johore will remain a citadel for UMNO still, though a couple of some-more parliamentary seats have been gone. The labis seat, Pulai seat, Gelang Patah seat, have been all during risks. If Shahrir does not mount in JB, which chair will migrate too. These might not all go to PKR though DAP is set to take over some of these seats. The antithesis might enlarge their parliamentary presence from a stream 1 to 7 seats.
There's a singular commentator (Quiet Despair) who thinks PKR cannot win any parliamentary sets in Sarawak. The SUPP seats will all go to DAP. As to PKR, concede me to cite a singular regard upheld to me by a Oracle of Syed Putera. He was commenting on a Sarawak state elections then. The feat of 100% by PBB candidates (its record is to illustrate anytime better than UMNO's) wasn't unexpected. The Oracle wasn't meddlesome to speak on what a mainstream newspapers were screaming haughtily per a victory. He was some-more concerned about a feat by PKR in a Sarawak state elections. Anwar Ibrahim with all a assassinations carried out on a daily basis, managed to assist Baru Bian get 3 seats! What do a wins represent? Unless UMNO people have been sleeping or have been bustling shashaying in a lobby of Concorde Hotel as well as cockily land! install ation in a coffee house, a wins tell us, a antithesis can win. PKR done inroads in Dayak grounds. And Oracle contingency be mimicking Daim Zainudin.
Then a headlines about a sacking of a singular ADUN from SPDP came. SPDP has 4 parliamentary seats. The sacking shows there have been dissension with a SPDP as well as might outcome in choosing losses. With a SUPP gone, PBB is banking on SPDP as well as PRS which has 6 seats. The dual have 10 seats between them; a series of these will tumble to PKR. The ora! cle was even saying, during this moment, Daim thinks, a Opposition has sixteen seats in a bag from Sarawak.
This thing about observant which someone is over a mountain as well as past a time, is vivid a UMNO people. Yet they dont think about repeatedly to close their mouth. Before 2008 Daim Zainudin was observant which BN will lose 5 states. Everyone was observant he's past his prime as well as over a mountain as well as alternative unmentionables. This time he's some-more or reduction observant a same thing.
That's because a Oracle says, a UMNO people have been sleeping when they dismissed a couple of seats won by Baru Bian in a Sarawak state elections. That's only a precursor of worse things to come.
That's how you see a GE13.
Now, let's get back to what Rahim Tamby Chik pronounced in an UMNO forum. Rahim Tamby Chik( RTC) has right away completed domestic significance which he couldn't completed before- being referred to in a same bandwidth as Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah. Otherwise, as you know, hehe, Rahim is referred to as well as compared some-more with reduction than regal extra-political pursuits. He is deep as well as down you know.
We right away come to a many interesting bit about Rahim's domestic imagination- Tengku Razaleigh being invited to turn a PM.
In sequence for which to take place, TRH contingency have standin! g. He ha s station by a following manner;
(1) He heads a domestic party. That celebration then can turn a negotiating entity sought after by a people who instruct to form a government. He has none during a moment. AMANAH is an NGO which he heads is not a domestic celebration as well as so, he has no station to be called in should there be a hung parliament.
(2) He could have a station on a alternative hand, if he heads a coterie in UMNO with sufficient numbers to go along with him should he confirm to part ways with mom boat UMNO. Right now, you do not see any series of MPs being with Tengku Razaleigh. Some might determine with his mount as well as ideas though have been always aware to stay on a side on which a bread is buttered. None have been brave sufficient to be with him whilst portion as UMNO MPs. Just demeanour as some of a erstwhile comrades who were with Razaleigh before- Shabery Chik for example- who served as TRH's personal partner as well as speech bard sometimes is in contact with TRH with a 10 feet pole. The minister of Information who used to be a series 2 man in Semangat 46 as well as who burnt his bridges to cinders is operative overtime to have certain everybody knows he has zero to do with Tengku.
So you can rule out a formation of an additional domestic celebration by Tengku Razaleigh or Tengku having a station by streamer a coterie within UMNO.
So because should Tengku Razaleigh be invited during all? In what capacity?
The answer is a tough realities of Malaysian politics.
Let us pretence a hung parliament. It can take place when not a singular single celebration has a majority in parliament. Anyone celebration can have a largest series of seats which if it reduction than 112, can never go on to form a government. Let's contend UMNO comes ou! t with a many seats- 70 from a stream 79. It is a celebration with a largest number.
What happens when a results of a elections come out? The first person or persons to see a Agong will be a chief secretary as well as presumably th! e AG bec ause of a inherent implications. He will demeanour around as well as inform a Agong, a celebration which has a largest series is UMNO. The Agong then summons UMNO to inquire either it can form a government. UMNO looks around; it sees a traditional partners decimated.
It casts a eyes, as well as sees presumably PBB which substantially retains 12 seats. But what if sixteen seats have been won by a antithesis there? PBB has usually 3 some-more seats friendly to offer. Taib Mahmud says, trainer you can usually suggest 15 seats. The alternative sixteen have left to DAP as well as PKR as well as to those who do not instruct BN anymore. you can't gawai as well as ngajat anymore. It makes me dizzy.
UMNO as well as a Sarawak celebration right away has 85 seats. If you have been kind enough, let's contend MCA managed to squirm by with 3 seats- UMNO/BN has 88. MIC delivers 1 seat. Now it has 89.
Out of a 25 seats in Sabah, after excluding UMNO, BN takes an additional 8. In sum now, UMNO as well as BN have 97 seats. Still not sufficient ma.
Mana mahu cari? The UMNO trainer goes on air as well as proclaims, you can't form a sovereign supervision if you can't uncover you have been multiracial. Since my macai celebration MCA has not sufficient seats, in sequence to uncover you have been inclusive, 1 Malaysia, multiracial as well as all that, you right away call on my old friend uncle Kit to stick on us.
DAP is invited to stick on a brand brand new bloc party. Uncle Kit says- mo-wa thank you. The story you instruct you can enhance is to illustrate cut short. Uncle Kit as well as Uncl! e Karpal say- over m! y passed body. Nahi!
So UMNO as well as BN have run out of options as well as so they say, you can't form a government. We give up.
Meanwhile Anwar Ibrahim is jumping up as well as down during a house gates screaming- you have a number. you have a number! Here- you have a signed stipulation from a MPs they instruct us to form a government. But a paper with a signed names is worthless. You have to test it essentially in parliament. Parliament hasn't nonetheless sat so there's no approach of testing. So Anwar Ibrahim couldn't pass a palace! gates.< /span>
He requests for an assembly to encounter a King along with all a signatories of his paper to uncover a King he has a number. They all come in Air Asia buses provided by Tony who's eager to tall 5 with a brand brand new rulers.
Anwar can usually attain if he gets an audience. This approach has precedence. Zamry Kadir brings all a ADUNs who supported him prior to Raja Azlan as well as submitted- Sire, here is a explanation which you have some-more support than Nizar. Until today, you have been still debating, either a meeting with Raja Azlan in his istana, constitutes a dewan siting. But now, BN people cannot say, it doesn't because that's how Zambry got to turn MB. Anwar is only doing a Zambry when he asks to encounter up a Agong.
Anwar Ibrahim who over a years has created animosity with a AG, a Police, as well as a Chief Secretary is still not given accede to pass a gates to a brand brand new Palace. He camps outward a gates- eating his marukku, idlee or apom or whatever he fancies. Maybe he sings a couple of Hindi songs as well as does a endurable sense of Sivaji a Boss, hurling a knife rupturing a speeding bullet in two.
That's when Tengku Razaleigh comes into a picture. But which my friends will be in an additional installment.
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Posted by sakmongkol AK47
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